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What caused Bitcoin to suddenly surge today?
Here are the three core reasons behind today's rally:
1. 📉 Inflation data "meets the target," rate cut expectations remain intact
This is the most direct trigger.
- **Event:** The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the latest **CPI (Consumer Price Index)** data. The figures show a 12-month increase of **2.7%** in prices.
- **Interpretation:** This number is completely in line with market expectations and is the same as last month.
- **Impact:** The data neither shows a rebound in inflation (which would force the Fed to hike rates) nor a sharp decline. This "moderate and stable" state reassures investors. The market confirms that the Federal Reserve is highly likely to keep interest rates unchanged at the January meeting (probability at 97%), eliminating the risk of monetary policy tightening again, thereby boosting risk assets including Bitcoin.
2. 🛡️ "Powell under investigation" sparks risk-averse sentiment
This was an unexpected black swan event, which instead became a catalyst for Bitcoin.
- **Event:** Federal Reserve Chair Powell is under criminal investigation by U.S. federal prosecutors, and the Department of Justice has summoned him.
- **Interpretation:** This has raised concerns in the market about whether the Fed's independence is being compromised by political interference.
- **Impact:** During this internal turmoil within the traditional financial system, funds tend to seek assets that are not directly controlled by the government. Bitcoin, as "digital gold" and an uncensorable alternative asset, has its safe-haven properties activated, attracting significant inflows of risk-averse capital.
3. 📈 Institutional funds and market structure recovery
Beyond news, on-chain data also shows bulls gaining strength:
- **ETF fund inflows:** After several days of net outflows, as prices stabilize and macro negatives are exhausted, the outflow pressure from Bitcoin ETFs begins to ease, with signs of inflow reappearing.
- **Key support levels:** Previously, Bitcoin found strong support in the $90,500 - $91,200 range, with strong buying interest. Today's surge helped break through the short-term resistance at **$92,000**.$BTC #CPI数据将公布