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Suppose the US expanded its control over Greenland—what'd actually shift in the rare earth market? Think about it: Greenland holds massive rare earth deposits, and if the US taps into that, it could reshape the entire supply chain dynamics.
Right now, rare earth production is concentrated in specific regions, making it a chokepoint for tech and defense. A Greenland play changes that calculus. Domestic supply means less dependency, potentially pressuring prices and flipping the geopolitical leverage.
Here's the trade setup: you'd be hedging between plays exposed to rare earth demand (like $CRML) versus those betting on incumbent supply-chain consolidation ($MP). The Long/Short pair captures the thesis—bullish on new supply disruption angles, short on legacy positioning.
The real move? Watch manufacturing and defense sector implications. If supply gets unlocked, margins get squeezed. If it stays theoretical, scarcity premiums hold. Either way, the rare earth narrative just got a whole lot spicier for position traders.