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#ETH Intraday Analysis
1️⃣ Structural Interpretation: Currently, ETH is oscillating around 2980. Although ETH attempted multiple upward probes yesterday, it still couldn't sustain a breakthrough at the psychological and technical levels of 3000-3030, which shows a lack of momentum for chasing the rally. From the current price level, it is still moving within a range without forming a clear trend.
2️⃣ Capital Flow, On-Chain Data & Exchange Dynamics Observation
Capital Flow: ETH ETF also shows slight net outflows, indicating overall low enthusiasm among investors. On-Chain Data: Some on-chain indicators suggest short-term support from buying activity in Ethereum, but no signs of concentrated accumulation have appeared.
Exchange Level: The inflow and outflow volumes of ETH on exchanges are relatively stable, with no explosive selling pressure or large-scale transfers.
3️⃣ Intraday Observation & Key Level Projection
Currently, personal advice is to watch more and trade less, patiently waiting for opportunities to make small bets for bigger gains.
Bullish Strategy: If ETH price effectively breaks above 2890-2915 USD and continues to advance, consider small positions for long, with stop-loss below 2890 or if the price breaks below the support level; initial target around 3150. Bearish Strategy: If ETH repeatedly encounters resistance in the 3180-3120 range, forming a clear decline pattern, consider small short positions with targets around 2850–2800; stop-loss can be set above the resistance zone.
4️⃣ Risk Warning
Volatility Risk: ETH typically exhibits higher volatility than BTC, which may lead to larger short-term swings within the range.
Correlation Risk: If BTC suddenly weakens during trading, ETH's decline is often amplified.
Fake Breakout Risk: Breakouts in a weak trend are often unstable, and chasing high can easily lead to being trapped.