#数字货币市场洞察 is 38 years old this year. I started getting into cryptocurrency at 30, and by this 2024-2025 cycle, my assets have finally surpassed eight figures. My daily routine now is just watching the market and making a few contract trades; $BTC has made life a lot less stressful. After years of ups and downs, I’ve summed up some observations:

Bitcoin’s trend usually sets the pace for the whole market. A few strong coins (like $XRP used to be) can occasionally break out on their own, but most altcoins still follow Bitcoin.

The price of $BTC and USDT usually move in opposite directions. When USDT suddenly surges, be cautious because Bitcoin might pull back; conversely, during Bitcoin’s rally is actually a good time to switch to USDT.

There’s often a price spike or dip around midnight to 1 AM. Sometimes before bed, I’ll set low buy orders and high sell orders; occasionally, I catch a bargain or an unexpected fill—easy pocket money while I sleep.

The 6-8 AM time slot is worth watching. If it’s been dropping from midnight to 6 AM and keeps falling during this window, it’s often a good buying opportunity, and there’s a high chance of a rebound that day. On the other hand, if it’s been rising all the way up to this point, you might want to consider reducing your position, as a pullback is likely.

Around 5 PM, due to the time difference, US traders become active, and market volatility noticeably increases. Historically, some big surges and crashes have indeed happened around this time, so I keep a close eye on it.

The “Black Friday” theory circulating online isn’t too accurate in my opinion. There have been some major crashes on Fridays, but there have also been sideways movements or rallies, so don’t get too superstitious—just pay attention to the news.

If a coin with decent liquidity drops, you don’t really need to panic. It usually recovers in a few days to a month. If you have spare USDT on hand, you can average down in batches to lower your cost, and you’ll break even faster. Of course, this only works if you haven’t bought a coin that’s going to zero.

If you’re trading spot, long-term holding of a single coin tends to yield higher returns than frequent trading—it just depends on whether you can hold on. I bought Dogecoin at 0.1, and it’s gone up more than 20 times since then.