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I've been in this space for eight years—what haven't I seen? Stories of getting rich overnight happen every day, and there’s always a new batch of people buying the top and getting stuck. Later, I figured it out: the ones who really make money are never those who obsess over complex indicators or chase after every rumor. Instead, it's those who stick to the most basic logic—in plain terms, those who can endure and wait for the moment when consensus forms around the capital.
The market always moves in cycles, and retail investors keep making the same mistakes. Too many people get played by the candlestick charts, but if you can read a few key signals, you can save yourself at least eighty percent of the tuition fees.
Take those short-term rallies of over thirty percent, followed by a slow pullback. A bunch of people panic at the retracement, thinking it’s the top and rush to get out. But let me tell you: this is not the main players running away, it’s big money doing a “shakeout”—forcing out the followers to make room for another leg up. What does a real top look like? That’s when there’s a violent spike up followed by a straight waterfall drop, giving you no chance to escape—by the time you react, you’re already stuck at the peak.
It works the same way in reverse. When the market plunges twenty percent and then slowly starts to recover, it looks like it’s stabilizing, but there’s actually danger lurking. This isn’t a healthy rebound—it’s big money using the bounce to lure you in. As soon as the retail crowd jumps in, they dump on you, trapping you instantly.
Volume is the real “language of capital” in the crypto market—it’s ten times more useful than candlestick charts. Some people get scared when they see high volume at the top, but a volume spike isn’t always bad; often, it signals another chance for a push higher. The real danger is a “sudden drop in volume”—like a car losing its gas pedal. Most likely, there’s more downside ahead, and if you don’t get out in time, you just sink deeper.
As for how to spot the bottom…