链上分析师:霍尔木兹海峡 15% 供应冲击或大幅推高国际原油价格

Gate News 消息,3 月 8 日,链上分析师"1011 崩盘内幕巨鲸"代理人 Garrett Jin 在 X 平台发文指出,历史上石油供应缺口与国际原油价格上涨存在明显相关性:1973 年约 7% 的供应缺口推动油价上涨约 300%,1979 年约 4-5% 的缺口推动油价翻倍以上,1990 年左右的供应中断也令油价显著攀升,这三次危机背景均与中东地缘冲突对能源供应的冲击有关。目前围绕霍尔木兹海峡(全球重要石油运输通道)的潜在供应冲击规模约 15%,远高于历史案例。多数机构模型假设这一冲击持续时间仅为"数天至数周",但极少模型预期冲击可能持续数月。Garrett Jin 表示,若市场对持续时间的预期被打破,更多做多资金可能被迫入场,从而进一步推高油价。

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to Disclaimer.
Opmerking
0/400
Geen opmerkingen