Gateway to Learning

Gate Research Weekly Report: BTC saw a strong rebound followed by a period of consolidation at higher levels over the past day. ETH quickly reversed after dipping to $2,719.28 on December 2 and continued to set new local highs during the subsequent rally. Gate recently listed TRADOOR spot and perpetual contracts, with the token surging more than 170% in 24 hours. The Ethereum Fusaka upgrade is progressing smoothly; Web3 project registrations in the Cayman Islands have surged; and PayPal’s PYUSD stablecoin has seen substantial growth. Kalshi and Polymarket recorded nearly $10 billion in combined trading volume in November, marking their strongest month on record. ENA, LINEA, and BB are scheduled to unlock approximately $50.92 million, $12.75 million, and $2.51 million worth of tokens, respectively, over the next seven days.

Gate Research Daily Report: Despite a brief rebound attempt in the crypto market, prices have failed to decisively reclaim key resistance levels. Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin has continued to weaken and gradually retreated to its core supply–demand zone, while ETH fell below the important psychological level of USD 3,000. Technical breakouts drove ACE up 22% over the past 24 hours, while FHE surged 98% in the same period, with its recent rally primarily driven by Chainlink’s newly launched FHE privacy bridge. Visa announced the launch of a stablecoin advisory service. Ripple revealed plans to expand RLUSD to Ethereum Layer 2 networks. Circle announced the acquisition of Axelar’s initial development team, Interop Labs, along with its intellectual property.

Dual-currency investment has attracted attention due to its simple structure and transparent returns, yet the market lacks systematic, cycle-based quantitative research and analysis of optimal entry points. This study constructs a backtesting framework in four steps: first, segmenting Bitcoin market cycles using trend and standard deviation; second, verifying that implied volatility (IV) in Bitcoin responds to both upward and downward movements, making it an effective entry signal; third, establishing “buy low / sell high” rules based on market phase; and fourth, estimating dual-currency APR using a simplified Black-Scholes model. Results indicate that the dual-factor framework of “IV-based entry + cycle-driven direction” effectively captures volatility premiums, performs particularly well in sideways markets, delivers stable returns, and supports reinvestment, providing a practical path for systematizing dual-currency investment strategies.