ChainCatcher 消息,据 glassnode 发文,比特币在 9.4 万美元处遭遇阻力,随后跌至 8.7 万美元,随着抛售压力增大和流动性减弱,上涨动能减弱。
一方面,期货未平仓合约略有下降,表明市场风险规避情绪温和,而非投降式抛售;永续合约CVD跌破下限,反映出强劲的卖压。另一方面,活跃地址数量略有下降,但实体调整后的转账量却突破了上限,表明资金流动活跃。与此同时,手续费压力有所下降,表明区块空间需求有所减弱。
ETF 资金流动在一定程度上抵消了比特币价格下跌的影响,但 ETF 的 MVRV 略有回落,盈利指标依然疲软。目前市场正处于盘整阶段,虽然部分指标显示潜在交易活动和机构兴趣有所回升,但市场信心依然不均衡,这使得市场容易进一步下跌,或者在需求增强之前陷入长期区间震荡。
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