美联储再度降息并未引发风险资产明显反弹，加密市场整体保持谨慎，狗狗币（DOGE）则继续在关键支撑位上方盘整。周三，美联储宣布将基准利率下调25个基点至3.5%-3.75%区间，这是今年第三次降息，但内部对于未来宽松路径的分歧加剧，使市场风险偏好难以全面释放。
在宏观情绪复杂的背景下，狗狗币链上活动仍维持活跃。巨鲸钱包过去几日增持约4.8亿枚DOGE，而Grayscale与Bitwise推出的狗狗币现货ETF虽为市场带来关注，但尚未促成持续单边行情。
目前DOGE价格围绕0.1405美元震荡，24小时涨幅0.69%，继续维持在0.13至0.15美元的盘整区间内。当日价格在0.1382美元至0.1408美元之间波动，成交量达6.517亿枚，较七日均值高出约7%，显示市场更多出现布局动作，而非高强度的追涨需求。
技术面显示，狗狗币短期依旧处于收缩形态。0.1380美元支撑位多次被验证，是当前盘整区间的关键。动量指标表现中性，反映DOGE仍处区间震荡阶段，并未形成明确方向。形态上类似三角旗形或波动率收敛结构，暗示未来或出现突破式波动，而非缓慢趋势延伸。
上方阻力集中在0.1425至0.1450美元，多次突破失败意味着买盘动能仍不足。若能有效站上该区间，DOGE有望向0.16至0.18美元发起上测。相反，一旦跌破0.1380美元，可能回测0.13美元区域的区间下缘。
由于美联储政策前景仍存不确定性，市场整体倾向观望，宏观因素对狗狗币的影响大于代币自身的催化剂。在当前环境中，狗狗币仍属于典型盘整标的，交易者需关注关键区间突破情况，以判断后市方向。（CoinDesk）
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