Had a casual meetup with a few crypto brothers from Melbourne at noon to catch up on our own situations and families. We need to connect every so often, and everyone speaks freely—there's always something to gain and new inspiration each time.
After today wrapped up, I looked back at my notes and realized over 80% of the conversation was centered around AI, especially how to use OpenAI, how to better leverage OpenAI, and what functionalities we haven't thought of yet that could be implemented.
In the past, 80% of these meetups were always about which crypto projects had potential, which projec

The rate decision tonight is NOT the volatility driver
Markets are pricing 99% probability of NO CHANGE
Fed likely holds at 3.5%–3.75%
The rate decision is fully priced in so low surprise risk
The REAL volatility catalyst is @Powell’s tone (hawkish vs dovish)
Markets will react to:
#Inflation concerns (especially #oil spike)
Labor market weakness
Timing of rate cuts
Right now:
Oil shock + inflation risk = hawkish bias
Weak jobs data = dovish counterweight
👉 Result: uncertainty = volatility
Economic projections (DOT PLOT)
This is huge tonight.
Watch for fewer rate cuts in 2026 i.e. hawkish sho

If you look at Web3's development over the past few years together, you'll discover a very interesting trend. On-chain finance has become quite mature, but consumer goods and assets from the real world have rarely truly entered the on-chain economy. The emergence of @watchdotfun actually pioneered a new path—reorganizing high-end consumer products through on-chain mechanisms into a participatory economy.
Watchdotfun builds a luxury watch raffle platform based on Solana. Users can gain eligibility to participate in on-chain raffles by engaging in tasks or activities, with the opportunity to win

# AsterMainnetLaunch
— A New Era for DeFi Infrastructure Begins
The highly anticipated launch of Aster Chain Mainnet in March
2026 marks a major تحول in the evolution of decentralized finance. Moving
beyond its origins as a multi-chain DEX, Aster is now positioning itself
as a full Layer-1 blockchain ecosystem—built for speed, privacy, and
real-world integration.
🔍 Deep
Dive: What Makes This Launch Significant?
⚙️ Layer-1
Transformation
Aster is transitioning into a dedicated blockchain network, giving it full
control over scalability, execution speed, and infrastructure—similar to
top-tier

Poor Person's 5-Piece Set
1. Borrow money to get married
2. Take out a loan to buy a house
3. Take out a loan to buy a car
4. Have a child
5. Go all-in on altcoins

🇫🇷 MACRON: FRANCE WILL NEVER JOIN HORMUZ OPS
President Emmanuel Macron slammed U.S. claims, saying France will never join efforts to unblock the Strait of Hormuz.
Donald Trump had hinted Macron might help, giving him an “8/10” for rallying allies. Macron's reply, a firm no.

Wednesday Afternoon Jingyi Operation Analysis
BTC consolidating at high levels with exhausted upside momentum. Pullback signals trend weakening, not accumulation.
From a technical structure perspective, the one-hour chart shows BTC declining from the 75,998 high, breaking below the 7/25-day moving average support. Long positions are exiting and selling pressure is emerging; ETH retraced from 2,385 with a bearish moving average crossover and weak buying support. Pullback on volume expansion indicates the market sentiment is turning cautious.
Macro Perspective
The Federal Reserve decision is imm

#AsterMainnetLaunch
Aster Mainnet Launch: What a New Layer 1Blockchain Going Live Means for the Ecosystem and for Investors Watching the Space
The launch of a new Layer 1 blockchain mainnet is one of the most significant events in the lifecycle of any crypto project. It represents the transition from promise to reality, from whitepaper architecture to live infrastructure carrying real transactions, real value, and real consequences for the developers, investors, and users who have committed to the ecosystem. Aster's mainnet launch arrives in a market environment that is simultaneously more so

‼️ #HYPERLIQUID HIP-3 HITS $1.43B OPEN INTEREST, part of Hyperliquid's tokenization arm Hyperunit, now dominates 90% of HIP-3 activity. In just 6 months, OI grew 100x. 7 out of the top 30 pairs are crypto. The rest are tokenised assets like stocks and commodities. #crypto

$ZEN Quick scalp.....Range losing strength… sellers stepping in.
$ZEN ‌ — SHORT
Entry: 6.68 – 6.74
SL: 6.92
TP1: 6.58
TP2: 6.46
TP3: 6.32
Multiple rejections near resistance showing weak momentum.
If 6.60 breaks clean → fast flush move possible.

$PI official tweet, good news, pi's smart contract is coming soon

thomasg.eth(@thomasg_eth) spent 6.08M $USDC to buy 2,582 $ETH 2 hours ago.
Over the past 3 days, he has spent a total of 14.08M $USDC to buy 6,204 $ETH, with an average buying price of $2,269.

#SEC与CFTC新监管指引 I'm not just talking the talk—I execute every single strategy I publish. Yesterday morning, I saw the trend continuing and wanted to chase the rally for a quick scalp trade, but I entered right at the peak. The altcoin barely outperformed Bitcoin. During the session, I took profits multiple times on pullbacks, but lacked the strength to hold, and ultimately couldn't stabilize on the retest. I closed with a small loss near my entry cost. I'm continuing to wait today. Tonight there's a PPI data release, and my subjective expectation is neutral to slightly hot—meaning we'll see a

$RIVER Dealer Performance Script Analysis
Whale long/short ratio 542%, longs with thick unrealized gains, shorts heavily trapped, price 10% away from previous high of 26, technical divergence at top + volume shrinkage, dealers quietly distributing.
Performance Flow
1. Luring longs higher: Rally to 25-25.8 touching previous high, chant "push to 30" creating breakout illusion, batch distribution in 24-25.5 range.
2. Sharp crash: Withdraw support orders, smash to 22-22.5, break short-term moving averages, panic volume, trap 24-25.5 chase buyers.
3. Weak rebound bait: Rally back to 23-23.5, chant

🕵️ Blackrock withdrew 2,449 $BTC ($181.82M) from Coinbase 7 hours ago.
Over the past 2 days, they withdrew 6,167 $BTC ($456.23M) and deposited 2,267 $BTC ($166.66M) through Coinbase.
Total inflow: 3,900 $BTC ($287,380,431)
Total outflow: 22,657 $ETH ($52.4M)

#CryptoMarketBouncesBack 🚨 $BTC UPDATE 🚨
BTC is currently trading around $74,214, and the market is showing strong recovery momentum after the sharp drop toward the 60k region. From that low, BTC has been steadily building higher lows and pushing upward, which is a clear sign that buyers are regaining control.
Right now price is approaching a key resistance zone around 74.5k–75k. This area has acted as a reaction point recently, so how BTC behaves here will be very important for the next move.
The structure is now shifting from bearish to short-term bullish, as we are seeing a clean recovery

After lunch, sitting around waiting for the market to move…
But the market is "going sideways", while I just want to "go to sleep" 😴

☝️2025, SEC chair changed.
🫰2026, crypto regulation changed its appearance.