Tonight 20:30—Big Non-Farm payrolls are coming! Crypto traders must prepare risk controls in advance



At 20:30 tonight, the U.S. March Non-Farm employment data will be officially released, directly determining the Federal Reserve’s next rate path, and Big Cake, Ethereum, and the entire crypto market will all see a major wave of volatility!

Market expectations are that Non-Farm employment will increase by 60,000 people, completely jumping out of the negative growth vortex of the prior value -92,000; the unemployment rate will stay unchanged at 4.40%, and wage growth will also edge down slightly.

The logic of how the data will affect the crypto market is very clear:
✅ Data stronger than expected → Rate cut expectations for the Fed cool down, the U.S. dollar strengthens, and Big Cake comes under pressure and pulls back
✅ Data weaker than expected → Rate cut expectations heat up, the U.S. dollar weakens, and Big Cake and altcoins may see a rebound window

⚠️ Key reminder: Today’s U.S. stock market, gold, silver, and oil are closed—so the impact of the data will be delayed until next Monday’s market open, when it will concentrate and break out; tonight’s price needle spikes and volatility will directly affect next week’s outlook. Don’t blindly bet on the data or go all-in on longs or shorts!

My trading suggestions:

1. Before the Non-Farm is released, strictly control your position size, keep plenty of “bullets,” and don’t go heavy on holding trades

2. After the data lands, wait for the market’s needle spikes to finish and the direction to become clear before entering—don’t chase highs, and don’t catch falling knives

3. Pay close attention to Big Cake’s 67,200-67,800 resistance zone and the 65,500-65,700 support zone, and strictly set stop-losses

Tonight, I will interpret the data in real time within the group and provide precise entry signals; follow the plan and don’t get harvested back and forth by Non-Farm!
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