#国际油价突破100美元 BTC is still fluctuating within the price channel, representing a typical range-bound consolidation in a downtrend, with highs and lows continuously moving lower and new lows being made, overall bearish.

1. Yesterday, it tested around 68,210 and formed an isolated high, which is a strong resistance level. After a false breakout, it returned to the channel to continue trading.

2. The current focus is on breaking through 66,778:

◦ A volume-supported breakout and stabilization above 66,778, with a rebound targeting the 67,539–68,210 resistance zone. Stabilizing within this zone temporarily halts the decline.

◦ Only if it effectively stays above 68,210 can the rebound continue, with the next target being the previous high at 70,079. If it cannot hold above 68,210, a significant rally is unlikely.

3. The downward structure remains unchanged; only consider long positions on rebounds, with quick entries and exits to avoid profit loss.

4. Key levels below:

◦ A volume-supported breakdown below 65,888, with a rebound that fails to recover, suggests shorting on the right side, with support at 65,167.

◦ If it breaks below 65,167 again, the decline will accelerate further.

5. 4-hour timeframe:

◦ A breakdown below 66,013, with the next support levels at 65,097–63,608.

Resistance / Support

• Resistance: 66,778 → 67,539 → 68,210

• Support: 65,887 → 64,828 → 63,768

Right-side Trading

• Volume-supported breakout above 66,778, buy on the rebound with a strict stop-loss.

• Volume-supported breakdown below 65,888, if the rebound cannot recover, short on the right side with a strict stop-loss. ETH mainly consolidates in a range; short-term trades should be based on key level breakouts or breakdowns.

1. Breakout on the right side:

◦ Volume-supported breakout above 2,000, buy on the rebound with a stop-loss on a false breakout.

◦ Stabilizing above 1,966, target 1,996–2,041.

2. Breakdown on the right side:

◦ Volume-supported breakdown below 1,944, short on the right side with a strict stop-loss.

3. Rebound to go long:

◦ Valid support at 1,908, buy on the rebound, with a stop-loss if it breaks below 1,866.

4. High-altitude short:

◦ Light short positions above 2,041, with a stop-loss on a breakout above 2,078.

5. Left-side limit orders:

◦ Long at 1,842, stop-loss if it breaks below 1,812.

6. 4-hour timeframe:

◦ Breakdown below 1,966, next support at 1,933–1,886, do not chase missed positions.

Resistance / Support

• Resistance: 1,966 → 1,996 → 2,041

• Support: 1,956 → 1,907 → 1,863