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Crude Oil + Gold Market Analysis #CloudShare Research Institute
1. Crude Oil: Supply-Driven + Geopolitical Premium, Clear Trends
1. Core Logic: The Strait of Hormuz accounts for 20% of global oil transportation. Blockages and production cuts by oil-producing countries continue to widen supply and demand gaps.
2. Trend Judgment: Strong in the short term, fluctuating with the situation in the medium term. Derivatives trading should follow the trend with strict control over pullbacks.
3. Key Trading Points: Critical support/resistance levels. Only trade in the direction of the trend, avoid counter-trend bottom fishing. Resistance at 120/130, buy spot at 70 after a 80% rally, consider reducing positions or taking profits in the short term.
2. Gold: The King of Safe Havens, Continuing Trend
1. Core Logic: Geopolitical risk aversion + inflation expectations + de-dollarization, a triple resonance of positive factors.
2. Trend Judgment: Bullish trend remains intact. Pullbacks are buying opportunities. Be cautious when shorting or betting against the trend. Focus on intraday trading.
3. Trading Strategy: Mainly swing trading with short-term support. Set effective stop-losses. Resistance at 5400/5600, support at 4800/5000. Focus on intraday range trading.
Silver (XAG): Repeated profits from short positions at 84/86, mainly intraday.
Our recent strategies have perfectly aligned, capturing all the opportunities in crude oil, gold, and cryptocurrencies. Congratulations to those who followed along.