Geopolitics has awakened the "bears." What is holding the markets?

The escalation in the Middle East is forcing investors to reassess risks. The USD is seeking refuge, and crypto is undergoing a stress test.

1. Bitcoin and the 70K level:
While BTC is holding, it remains in a zone of high volatility. 70,000 is not just a number but a psychological barrier. Maintaining it will be difficult without an influx of liquidity if news headlines become even more alarming. Bitcoin still correlates with risky assets at the moment.

2. Asset battle:
Currently, the hierarchy of forces looks like this:
🥇 Gold — a classic safe-haven asset, hitting new highs. Investors turn to it as a lifeline.
🥈 Oil — a direct beneficiary of (supply disruption risks). Here, the strength lies in physical scarcity.
🥉 Bitcoin — remains a "risky" asset for now. In the short term, it underperforms gold, but in the long run, it remains a hedge against fiat devaluation.

3. Fed and interest rates:
If tensions escalate into a full-scale conflict and oil jumps above $100, the Fed will face a new headache — stagflation.
Lowering rates under these conditions is unlikely. The fight against inflation will once again become a priority. Markets expecting "helicopter money" may be disappointed.

Bottom line: The current strength is in protecting (gold and cash). Bitcoin proves its viability, but its time will come after the peak of tension.

#USIranTensionsImpactMarkets