$BTC Signal】Dual Order Script: 1H Oversold Rebound Play vs 4H Trend Break Follow



$BTC The 1H timeframe is in an extremely oversold zone (RSI 26.5), with price consolidating sideways near 63000. The 4H timeframe shows a clear downward channel, indicating a bearish trend but with short-term technical rebound needs. Currently, the order book shows heavy selling pressure (depth imbalance -50.52%), but open interest remains stable, with no signs of panic selling. This signals an imminent showdown between bulls and bears.

🎯 Direction: Wait and see (Dual condition pending orders)

⚡ Script A: Oversold Rebound (Long)

🎯 Entry/Order: 63500 - 63800 (Reason: 1H needs to first stabilize and break above the current consolidation zone to confirm rebound momentum)

🛑 Stop Loss: 62500 (Reason: Break below recent 1H low of 62655 invalidates the rebound logic)

🚀 Target 1: 64800 (Reason: 1H EMA20 and previous minor high resistance)

🚀 Target 2: 65800 (Reason: Upper boundary of 4H downtrend channel and strong EMA20 resistance zone)

⚡ Script B: Trend Break (Short)

🎯 Entry/Order: Short below 62500 (Reason: Confirmed break below 1H consolidation platform and key support, opening downside space)

🛑 Stop Loss: 63500 (Reason: Reclaim above the consolidation zone, risk of a false breakout)

🚀 Target 1: 61500 (Reason: Extension of previous swing low)

🚀 Target 2: 60000 psychological level (Reason: Important integer support and ATR-based target)

🛡 Trading Management:

- Position size suggestion: Light (Reason: Unclear direction, high volatility, ATR at 1060 points)

- Execution strategy: Only execute the first triggered script. After entry, if price moves favorably by more than 1 ATR (about 1000 points), move stop loss to entry price (break-even). Prioritize entries with better risk-reward ratio.

Depth logic: 4H consecutive bearish candles, weak buying power (buy/sell ratio 0.4-0.46), mid-term momentum dominated by bears. However, 1H RSI is deeply oversold, indicating a need for technical correction. Key focus on price action within the 62500-63500 range. Stable open interest suggests large funds have not exited, possibly brewing a one-sided trend. Slight negative funding rate reduces extreme short squeeze risk. Currently, a typical “high volatility at the end of convergence,” with a breakout imminent.

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