$crust Second Level 1.5m > 4.2m

$clawnch 4m > 17m
Sharing common second-level methods used in OW
Here is a summary, written as I think of them
1. The main targets for the second-level trend are found among the top 5 trading volume rankings on each chain (sol/bsc/base) for the day. These must be observed and studied. Additionally, trading volumes vary across chains, so when filtering, you can adjust based on recent average transaction volumes and liquidity.
2. A typical target usually has a complete 12345 wave cycle. Wave 5 is the main upward wave and also the largest in gains.
Generally, we only focus on waves 1, 2, and 3, which have very high certainty. Wave 5 requires a narrative upgrade to align with it; its certainty is lower but offers a high risk-reward ratio.
Counting waves is simple: start with the trend > correction > breakout > pullback > FOMO surge > end, then move to the next cycle (relay situation). First, watch tutorials, then practice more. The more lines you draw, the better you'll get.
3. How to determine if a target has continuation potential
The simplest method is to observe the volume-price structure on the chart. As long as HH (higher high) appears with increased volume, there’s a 70-80% chance of continuation. You can patiently wait for a pullback to complete the structure before entering. The other 20% is often manipulated by the big players intentionally.
Another smart move by big players is knowing you watch volume and price, so they don’t increase volume during slow rises. In this case, just analyze the chip structure and the previous big player’s cost line. Recognizing it as a manipulation is also a way to join the ride.
4. High-probability structures
a. Low-position ascending triangle
After a significant pullback of over 70%, the price suddenly surges, then forms a 5min/15min HL (higher low). As long as this HL isn’t broken again, it indicates the big players/major forces will continue. Usually, they form ascending triangles to show you, and if it breaks below 90%, the pattern is invalid.
b. Ladder-like rise at low levels
A pattern of rising, then sideways, then rising again, with sideways movements in between. This is a clear big player’s support pattern—just follow along.
c. Channel line breakout upward
When volume increases, the acceleration phase begins.
d. Pullback channel line structure
In the 12345 wave, waves 2 and 4 form a downward-sloping channel line structure. The farther the price is from the lower band, the stronger the trend—pay special attention.
e. Major cycle bottom price line
If a price line at the bottom cycle fails to break below 3/5 times and is accompanied by accumulation actions, it warrants special attention.
These are methods based on the chart itself.
OW mainly relies on volume-price structure and capital chips to judge. Narratives can be combined with these observations.
That’s about it for now. I will add more if there are other methods later.