Bitcoin Mayer Multiple Flashing Late Cycle Warnings

The recent movement of Bitcoin has caught the attention of analysts as the Mayer Multiple enters a territory historically associated with significant cycle risks. With the price stretching far above the 200 day moving average, we are seeing a pattern that often precedes a sharp correction or a transition into a distribution phase.

In previous cycles, whenever the ratio hit the 2.4 to 3.0 range, the momentum began to fade as smart money started trimming positions. Currently, volatility is compressing and the potential for downside risk is expanding much faster than the reward, suggesting that leverage could soon face a harsh punishment.

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Do you think we are heading for a blow off top or a healthy reset toward the mean?