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Review on February 6th: This morning, the opening of Huangtai indicated a rebound. The rebound was accompanied by decreasing volume, and a pullback is inevitable; next week, the aerospace sector will experience a tide withdrawal.
February 6th Review: This morning, Huangtai’s opening signaled a rebound, but the rebound was shrinking in volume, and a pullback was inevitable; next week, aerospace stocks are expected to retreat [Taogu Bar].
This morning, Huangtai Liquor inexplicably opened at the floor; yesterday, the strong Yao Wang Technology didn’t even open high? Fenglong was driven down by bidding;
This kind of signal is a market sentiment seesaw; indicating that today’s sentiment is structured for a rebound, with risk-averse and group-formation sectors experiencing declines.
Of course, Fenglong’s decline today is due to fear of regulatory issues over the weekend, combined with the opening sell-off in risk-averse sectors, making Fenglong again a target of group sentiment.
Today’s opening sell-off, ending with the limit-down, is very reasonable in terms of sentiment and expectations.
Despite a significant rebound in the morning, the market appears to be highly optimistic, with many chasing highs; in reality, with over 4,000 stocks rising,
the market has not yet seen volume increase. Therefore, the morning sentiment indicates that funds capable of understanding the market are increasingly selling, and a sharp decline in the afternoon is inevitable.
After consecutive days of shrinking volume, even with a broad rebound in the morning, volume continued to shrink, which will inevitably lead to selling pressure from informed funds.
At the same time, in this market correction structure, the pre-holiday effect has continued to shrink without triggering panic selling.
This broad rebound and selling pressure are too heavy; as long as volume continues to shrink, each rally will encounter selling pressure.
Next week’s early stage will likely be accompanied by the pre-holiday effect, with the first half of the week under pressure. Only when panic selling reaches several hundred billion will there be a turning point.
Otherwise, the market will remain in oscillation and rotation, stuck in a tug-of-war.
Today, Fenglong’s decline combined with the continuous acceleration of the Commercial Aerospace giant, JuLi Rigging; signals that the first half of next week will see further declines, starting from high sentiment.
At the end of the metal sector’s decline, the sentiment in the Commercial Aerospace sector will be further shaken, basically releasing the market sentiment.
Commercial aerospace will inevitably adjust next week because of leading stocks like JuLi Rigging. Based on its daily highest touch price, it has hit four consecutive high-level acceleration boards.
Even if it moves higher again, it will need to digest the gains; the strongest rebound stocks like Western Materials and Zhongchao Holdings do not connect with JuLi Rigging’s position.
Yesterday, I bought Zhongchao Holdings, thinking it might have a chance to replace JuLi Rigging and continue leading the commercial aerospace sector, but at the open, JuLi showed acceleration sentiment.
Zhongchao opened weak, so I cashed out during the rally. This clearly signals that commercial aerospace is about to adjust.
Furthermore, today’s early chemical sector rally also reflects funds flowing into low-priced chemicals in advance, taking the lead;
Low-priced chemicals, rising prices logic, and a risk-averse direction.
Funds choosing chemicals are likely guiding funds for Monday, as chemical stocks have accumulated funds, are relatively low, and have logical reasons; but there are also disagreements.
In this situation, even if chemicals don’t strengthen on Monday, with a solid foundation, funds won’t have too much disagreement and won’t turn into a one-day trade. At least, funds that took the lead on Friday can take profits on Monday’s rally.
So, I went for Hongbao Li at the close.
At the same time, the photovoltaic sector’s recovery today is also preparing for a potential further decline on Monday, as a preemptive move.
Whether chemicals will strengthen on Monday depends on whether Hongbao Li’s bidding strength holds; today mainly digests the chips from February 4th and 5th, which have been dominant these two days.
A sharp surge today could easily lead to a headshot; looking from the perspective of the dragon and tiger charts, yesterday’s 200 million was released today.
From another angle, Hongbao Li has always been a leader in chemicals, so if it doesn’t strengthen on Monday, the chemical sector won’t be strong either.
Optical fiber price increases: watch Longfei and Hangdian Shares. Hangdian’s late trading today is likely a self-directed move to create recognition.
In the film and television sector, tracking Hengdian Film and Television, the late sell-off is to release pressure. However, this market cap is too small; once it declines, it hits the floor repeatedly. Be cautious.
Robotics, Tianqi Trends, likely to see a few more days of high expectations.
On Monday, focus on chemicals, optical fiber, and film/television sectors; keep an eye on photovoltaics, transformers, coal, and live streaming sectors to see if there will be groupings around certain stocks.
Hongbao Li, Zhejiang Longsheng, Longfei, Hangdian, GCL System Integration, Shuangliang Eco-Energy, Shaanxi Black Cat, Yao Wang Technology, etc.
In fact, weekend news is just auxiliary and not very important. In this shrinking volume market, coupled with sluggish international finance and volatile precious metals, no single news will change much.
In summary, recently avoid precious metals and technology, wait for volume to pick up; otherwise, expect rapid sector rotation.
Precious metals face selling pressure and high volatility, while technology relies on volume, compounded by the instability of US tech stocks.
On Monday, focus on chemicals. With a solid foundation and clear chip structure, the logic is in place. Don’t consider the aerospace sector again on Monday; it’s likely to see a high-level sell-off.