Bitcoin on the verge of a historic breakthrough: $100K is realistically achievable

Macro signals indicate multi-faceted support for growth

In early 2026, the convergence of several strong market signals creates an extremely favorable scenario for Bitcoin. First, the Nasdaq 100 index started the year trading below its 50-day moving average — a situation that historically preceded strong stock rallies in the first months of the year. This typically has a positive impact on risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.

Meanwhile, the put/call ratio on the US stock market spiked sharply at the end of the previous year. This indicator reflects increased buying of protective put options, which traditionally signals local market bottoms. Historical data shows that such fear spikes often precede 2–3 month periods of recovery in value.

Additionally, gold and silver accumulated over $13 trillion in total market capitalization during 2025. If these metals enter a consolidation phase, the realized profitability could trigger a capital rotation back into stocks and digital assets, creating another liquidity channel for Bitcoin.

Technical picture: from consolidation to breakout

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading near $91.03K, maintaining a clearly defined trading range between $84,000 and $90,000, where the coin has been for over a month. This consolidation period is actually a technically positive signal — indicating accumulation ahead of a major move.

The most critical resistance level remains at $90,000–$92,000. A confident breakout above this zone could quickly accelerate the move to $95,000, and then to the psychological target of $100,000. Such a breakout sequence typically develops over several weeks, so accelerating monthly volatility cycles for faster unfolding is one of traders’ key questions.

Bitcoin recently moved above its 21-day moving average, a classic signal of a short-term trend reversal in favor of buyers. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) reached deeply oversold levels, which historically coincided with the end of downtrends and the start of significant rallies.

Historical patterns supporting the bullish case

One of the strongest technical patterns involves three consecutive red monthly candles. Bitcoin has just completed this formation. In the last four cases, such a configuration preceded the formation of local lows, followed by rebounds of 30% to 130%. This indicates exhaustion among sellers at the long-term level.

The return to the local minimum near $80,500 on November 21 shows constructive price dynamics despite sideways movement. Further increased volumes at the $90,000 level would be critically important confirmation of a new upward trend.

However, one interesting aspect to note is that some analysts suggest a correlation between Bitcoin’s behavior and previous NVIDIA stock cycles. If this analogy holds, BTC could temporarily break below the support level of $78,400 before a powerful reversal. This underscores the importance of risk management at this critical stage.

Key levels and expectations

Here is an overview of important price targets:

• Current position: $91.03K (24-hour change -2.17%)
• Immediate resistance: $92,000–$95,000
• Primary target: $100,000+
• Nearest support: $90,000 (psychological and technical)
• Critical support: $84,000–$85,000

Overall sentiment remains noticeably bullish. As long as BTC stays above its key short-term moving averages and buying pressure from institutional and retail players persists, the probability of a breakout increases.

What to expect in the coming weeks

The next 7–14 days will be decisive. Strong consolidation above the $90,000–$92,000 zone on high volumes could confirm the start of a new bullish cycle. If this happens, Bitcoin may return to the spotlight as an asset with six zeros sooner than many investors expect.

On the other hand, short-term volatility remains a real threat. Sudden spikes in fear indices, macroeconomic events, or actions by large players could cause temporary dips before a final recovery.

The role of monetary policy

Changes in interest rates have a direct impact on Bitcoin cycles. Rising rates typically suppress demand for cryptocurrencies, as investors favor safer assets. Conversely, loose monetary policy and low rates boost capital inflows into risk assets, including digital coins. Currently, the scenario appears more favorable for the latter.

Conclusion

Bitcoin is on the verge of a decisive phase. The convergence of technical signals, macroeconomic indicators, and historical patterns creates a rare window of opportunity for significant growth. While $100,000 is a realistic short-term target, traders and investors should remain vigilant about short-term volatility spikes and manage risk along the way.