2026-01-19 08:05:47

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GateNews

2026-01-19 07:59:03

Only a 5% chance of rate cut! The Federal Reserve shifts to caution, BTC, ETH, XRP all decline collectively in a single day

January 19 News, as the Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations for January rapidly cooled down, the cryptocurrency market came under significant pressure this week. Rate futures-related tools indicate that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in January has risen to about 95%, with the current target range still at 3.50%–3.75%, and the possibility of a rate cut remaining at about 5%. This shift quickly impacted risk asset sentiment, with Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP all weakening simultaneously.

From a longer-term perspective, the policy expectations for the March meeting are also leaning towards caution. Market data shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve holding steady in March is about 75%, with the scope for rate cuts compressed to about 25%. Against the backdrop of limited liquidity expectations, volatility in the crypto market has significantly increased, and short-term funds are becoming more conservative.

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