Guessing the Bear Market Bottom from Historical Cycles
Based on the retracement depths of previous bull-to-bear cycles, we can estimate as follows: around 2011, the retracement was 94%, which can be ignored as it was very early with limited liquidity and participants. Around 2013, the retracement was 87%. Around 2017, it was 84%. Around 2021, it was 77%. For 2025, the retracement? The retracement appears to be decreasing based on cycle retracement strength, as market consensus becomes stronger and with the addition of institutional investors, mining costs after each halving, and other factors.

2.3 Morning Gold Trading Ideas
Today, international gold opened with a continuation of yesterday’s rebound trend, showing oscillation and strength in the early trading session; the US dollar index slightly weakened in the morning, providing direct support for gold prices to rise.
There are no major economic data releases today, and combined with the official announcement from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics that Friday’s non-farm payroll data will be delayed, market focus this week will shift to ADP employment data and initial jobless claims. Such data are expected to support gold prices p

January 2026: When "Real Assets" Regain Their Prestige
The year 2026 began with a clear message to anyone who believes markets are moving in a straight line.
While everyone was betting on the continuation of the tech and digital currency boom,
"Commodities" decided to remind us that they are the safe haven and foundation.
Crude oil (WTI) led the performance chart with an increase of over 14%,
followed by silver and gold with strong gains.
This rise is not just about green numbers,
but a signal of liquidity flowing into hedging against currency volatility and erosion of purchasing power,
esp

$XAUT
Gold has pushed strongly into the $4,790 zone after a sharp impulsive rally, showing clear bullish control following a consolidation base near $4,650. The recent pullback from the local high around $4,849 appears corrective rather than structural, with strong demand now forming around the key support zone at $4,740–$4,760. As long as price holds above this region, continuation toward the first resistance at $4,850 remains highly likely. A confirmed breakout above $4,850 opens the path toward the next upside target near $4,980 where prior supply could emerge. If support fails, deeper retr

Government Shutdown Risk Drops as Lawmakers Race for Deal - - #fed #lawmakersrace #sec

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2383 short 2433 short 2467 loss
Take profit: 2346 and 2316 and 2296
2316 long 2286 long 2246 loss
Take profit: 2346 and 2383 and 2438
Currently, long positions are betting on a rebound, short positions are betting on a pullback. Easy small positions are entering, set good take profit and stop loss!

#CryptoMarketPullback
The cryptocurrency market is navigating a period of heightened volatility, with major assets like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana seeing renewed downward pressure in early February 2026. After a sharp downside flush driven by heavy leveraged liquidations, these benchmark tokens are testing key technical levels and prompting traders to reassess risk, positioning, and opportunity ahead of broader macro developments.
📉 Current Market Landscape:
Over the past 24–48 hours, the digital asset space has seen a notable sell-off. Bitcoin briefly dipped into the mid-$74,000s before

$BTC $ETH Bitcoin Auntie’s daytime thoughts are oscillating upward, with dips mainly used for long positions. The current market still shows a mostly oscillating and slightly bullish structure. After a quick dip, it quickly recovers, with a clear higher low, indicating that buying support below is still strong. Although there hasn't been a direct volume breakout yet, the momentum has shifted from a downtrend to a slow rebound within a consolidation range. It’s not the right time to chase high now. The market is moving in a frustrating rhythm, but every dip provides a low-buying opportunity. As

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#CryptoMarketWatch #CryptoMarketWatch February 2026 Market Snapshot
The crypto market is currently facing significant downward pressure and heightened volatility as we enter early February 2026. Overall sentiment is firmly bearish, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index hovering in the “Extreme Fear” zone (14–26), reflecting widespread caution, liquidations, and diminished risk appetite among traders and institutions. Market participants are reacting to a combination of macro headwinds, leveraged position unwinds, ETF outflows, and geopolitical uncertainties, creating one of the most challenging t

#AIBT 上车，这是最后的机会！投资AIBT是你最好的选择

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The Google Coin recommended yesterday has risen nicely today. During my live broadcast yesterday noon, I analyzed gold and silver. It's not a reversal of the top; it will continue to rise, just Morgan manipulating the market to cover their short positions. The University of Tokyo is vying for the right to set silver prices. The London precious metals trading market initially didn't settle in RMB, which angered the great Eastern nation. They don't have that much silver, so they must keep pushing up silver prices to prevent London from completing delivery, losing credibility, and allowing the Sh

30% down and 10% up means we will soon visit 3,300$ETH
When you are planning to move up, you first eliminate all long competition (bulls), then all shorts (bears). If we use 3,000$ as base price, then our working area is 2,100-3,300
$ETH

recent #CryptoMarketPullback in the crypto market has rattled investors quite a bit, but it's actually a pretty normal phase in this volatile space.
Bitcoin (BTC) dropped sharply by around 40% from its recent highs, dipping as low as roughly $74,500–$75,000 before recovering somewhat. Right now, it's stabilizing in the $78,000–$79,000 range (with live prices hovering around $78,500–$78,700 as of early February 2026). Major altcoins like Ethereum (around $2,300–$2,400) and Solana faced similar heavy selling pressure. The total crypto market cap shed hundreds of billions, dropping to about $2.65