ADA at Crossroads: Can Cardano Hold $0.37 or Will Bitcoin's Weakness Drag It Lower?

Cardano (ADA) is currently trading at $0.39 with a 24-hour decline of -4.98%, leaving traders questioning whether the cryptocurrency can stabilize or if further downside awaits. The technical picture reveals mounting selling pressure as ADA struggles to maintain key support levels that have defined recent price action.

The Breaking Point: Technical Setup Unravels

The rally that peaked at $0.484 has faded significantly. Momentum collapsed when buyers failed to sustain gains above both the $0.484 resistance and the 50-day SMA barrier. This breakdown marked a shift in sentiment, with the price now trading decisively below the critical 21-day SMA support level.

Most concerning is the fractured $0.37 support barrier. Sellers have driven ADA to intraday lows near $0.345, signaling accumulating weakness. While price has recovered to retest $0.37 as resistance today, the inability to close decisively above this level raises fresh concerns. If ADA breaks through $0.37 on the upside and reclaims space above the moving average bands, the $0.40-$0.45 range could become the next focal point.

Multiple Scenarios on the Table

Bearish Case: Should ADA fail to hold $0.37 on another test, the path of least resistance leads toward $0.30. The downsloping moving average lines on the 4-hour chart confirm the directional bias remains south. Given how bitcoin to cardano correlations often move in sync, weakness in macro conditions could accelerate ADA’s decline.

Key Technical Levels at a Glance:

• Support Zones: $0.37 (immediate), $0.30 (secondary), $0.80, $0.70, $0.90 (longer-term floors)
• Resistance Zones: $1.20, $1.30, $1.40 (distant targets)

What’s Next?

The 4-hour moving averages remain tilted lower, reinforcing the near-term downtrend. ADA’s immediate fate hinges on whether buyers can recapture $0.37 with conviction or if another leg down materializes. The coming hours will determine if this represents a temporary correction within a larger decline or the foundation for a genuine rebound.

Disclaimer: This analysis reflects current market conditions and technical observations. It is not investment advice. Conduct your own research before trading or investing in digital assets.