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#数字资产市场动态 Tonight's key data to watch
On January 15th at 9:30 PM EST, the US weekly initial jobless claims data will be released—last week at 208,000, with market expectations this week at 215,000. Additionally, the New York Fed and Philadelphia Fed manufacturing indices for January will be announced. These data points have a significant impact on the Federal Reserve's policy direction and directly influence the mood of precious metals and the dollar.
The current situation is that the gold-silver ratio just broke above 50, dropping to the lowest since March 2012. Silver surged to 93.685 during the day but then turned down, and gold is also lacking momentum. The entire market is waiting for these data to provide guidance. The situation is clear: if unemployment claims are higher than expected, it indicates softening employment in the US, increasing the likelihood of Fed rate cuts, which could attract buying in precious metals; conversely, if the data is below expectations, it suggests a resilient labor market, suppressing rate cut expectations, and gold and silver may face downward pressure. Regarding the manufacturing indices, if they fall short of expectations, it signals economic weakness, which is favorable for precious metals; if the data exceeds expectations, it could further pressure gold and silver.
In summary, tonight's data releases are likely to cause volatility in precious metals. The deviation in unemployment claims and the manufacturing performance will be the key indicators for the upcoming market trend. Traders need to stay alert, as the market may swing back and forth around the data releases.