2026-01-15 11:41:22

#美国就业数据不及预期 January 15th Thursday Night Session BTC/ETH Market Analysis

Bitcoin and ETH are both oscillating at high levels after hitting consecutive new highs, and the market needs to make a choice. On Bitcoin's side, after breaking through 95,000, the next tough area is between 97,800 and 98,000—both are previous highs and psychological barriers. If there is a genuine breakout, there’s a chance to push towards the 100,000 mark.

From a technical perspective: the daily EMA still shows a golden cross pattern, but the 4-hour MACD momentum is weakening. The key now is whether volume can pick up to confirm if this breakout is real or just a false move.

Trading Strategy:

For Bitcoin, if it retraces to the 96,000-96,400 range, consider going long with a target of 98,900.

For ETH, if it retraces to the 3,320-3,340 level, go long with a target of 3,480.

$BTC $ETH $ZEC

BTC-0,93%

ETH-0,5%

ZEC-4,63%

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SerumSqueezer

· 01-18 07:52

The possibility of a fake-out is quite high; the volume hasn't picked up, and there's no confidence.

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LiquidityLarry

· 01-15 23:16

The barrier at 97,800-98,000 doesn't seem that easy to break. The signal of insufficient volume is already very obvious, and the probability of a false move is really not small.

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MeltdownSurvivalist

· 01-15 12:11

Another fake move... Every time, they say they'll break 100,000, but it gets stuck at 98,000, just like last year. As for MACD decay, that's even worse. I'm just waiting to smash it back to 96,000 to buy the dip. Will I have the guts to do it when the time comes?

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EyeOfTheTokenStorm

· 01-15 12:11

Damn, it's the same EMA+MACD narrative again... If the trading volume doesn't increase, how can I believe this is a breakout and not a trap?

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BanklessAtHeart

· 01-15 12:11

The 97,800-98,000 level is really a psychological barrier. If it can't be broken through, it will have to oscillate until the scalp goes numb... Has the trading volume picked up? It still feels like a false move.

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HappyMinerUncle

· 01-15 12:10

97800, it seems like the key level needs to be tested multiple times. Will it break this time?

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OnChainDetective

· 01-15 12:09

I've been watching the critical range of 97,800-98,000, but have you noticed the unusual large transfers these past two days? I tracked on-chain data for half an hour and feel like a whale is quietly positioning itself. The probability of a false move is quite high.

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WalletDetective

· 01-15 11:59

The probability of a fake-out is quite high, and the weakening MACD signal is a bit glaring.

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WalletWhisperer

· 01-15 11:49

yo, the volume decay on the 4h is basically screaming that this whole move might be performance theater... those whale clusters around 97.8k aren't accumulating, they're positioning exits. pattern recognition says we're probably seeing a liquidity grab before the actual dump. ngl, the job data miss just handed them perfect cover.

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