Many traders actually find it difficult to understand whether the main force funds are washing out the stock or distributing. These two behaviors look similar but have completely different intentions, leading to opposite conclusions when judging the subsequent trend. Today, we will break down the differences between these two.



First, let's talk about the purpose and intent. The core logic of the main force washing out is to clear out the chips, removing those positions that are not firm enough, whether they are trapped or profitable. Through this round of decline, the concentration of chips in hand becomes higher, and the locking degree is stronger. On the other hand, main force distribution is different; it occurs after a significant profit has been made at high levels. The goal is to convert the chips into cash and secure the gains.

From the perspective of occurrence location, it can also be distinguished. Washing out usually happens at low prices or during the early stages of an uptrend. At this time, the main force is eager to absorb more chips and needs to use oscillations to harvest retail investors' chips. Distribution, however, often occurs after the market has experienced a substantial rise and enters an acceleration phase. At this point, the main force's profit margin is large enough, and they start looking for opportunities to offload.

Looking at the price fluctuations also provides clues. During the washing out process, the overall decline usually does not exceed 20%, and it won't break through key support levels, aiming to keep the chips consolidated. Distribution is different; the decline often exceeds 20% or even more, and the support below is noticeably weak.

The distribution of chips is the most interesting dimension. During washing out, you'll see the chips form a unimodal, dense peak. Regardless of how the price fluctuates, this dense area remains firmly locked, which is called a lock-in state. But if it’s distribution, the chips will gradually move upward, and the positions below will loosen and dissipate. The single-peak dense trading zone actually exposes the main force's cost basis for building positions.

Volume is the most intuitive signal. During the washing out phase, price declines are often accompanied by shrinking volume, indicating insufficient selling pressure in the market. During distribution, volume will significantly increase, showing the main force accelerating to clear out chips.

Mastering these five features will allow you to quickly judge the true intention of the main force at critical moments. This is the most basic but also the most important lesson in trading.
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FreeRidervip
· 01-18 06:04
Well said, finally someone explained this clearly. I used to get confused about it all the time.
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BankruptcyArtistvip
· 01-15 22:33
Everything sounds right, but the market is just a trap. I've looked at the chip distribution for a year, and it's not as reliable as a single piece of news.
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SeasonedInvestorvip
· 01-15 12:02
Looking around, I still can't figure it out. After hearing so many features, how can I identify them at a glance in actual operation? --- The analysis of chip distribution is correct, but the problem is that retail investors can't see the complete data at all. --- Damn, it's this set of theories again. I believed it last time and ended up getting cut. --- Does increasing trading volume mean selling off? Why do I see a bunch of limit-up volumes that are also huge? --- Low-level shakeout and high-level distribution sound reasonable, but in practice, the reaction is always a beat late. --- Single-peak concentration can indeed be observed, but who can accurately catch the turning point during those few days? That hurts. --- This article is good, the logical chain is quite clear, but the downside is the lack of real case studies. --- The definition of key support levels is too vague. Support on the 5-minute chart and support on the daily chart differ by several points. --- What I fear most is not shakeouts or distribution sideways movements, but those most exhausting consolidations. --- Judging the intentions of the main force is, frankly, still a game of probabilities; there is no absolute answer.
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OnchainUndercovervip
· 01-15 11:47
To be honest, this set of theories sounds quite refreshing, but when it comes to real trading, I get confused. Indicators like chip density and trading volume can always deceive you in reverse.
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rugpull_ptsdvip
· 01-15 11:45
To be honest, this theory looks very perfect, but the market isn't that simple. Does concentrated chips necessarily mean locked positions? Why do I always see it the other way around?
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GasFeeTherapistvip
· 01-15 11:34
Well said, but I still feel that even after understanding these five points thoroughly, I might still stumble into pitfalls. The key is human greed, brother.
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