2026-01-15 11:31:08

AVAX's recent performance has been a tale of two extremes. The price has recently declined, but the story behind it is far more worth paying attention to than just the candlestick charts.

From the institutional side, AVAX is gaining increasing attention. Being newly included in NASDAQ and CME crypto indices, and with Grayscale planning an exclusive AVAX ETF, these are not small moves—indicating that big funds are starting to take this project seriously.

The ecosystem aspect is even more interesting. Avalanche's cumulative trading volume has surpassed 1 trillion, subnet expansion is ongoing, and the gaming and NFT ecosystems are also growing. On-chain activity data shows real user participation. Especially in the new RWA (real-world asset tokenization) sector, AVAX developers rank third. As this field continues to heat up, its potential is evident.

However, there is some short-term pressure. The 7-day and 25-day moving averages have experienced a bearish crossover, and the MACD has turned negative, suggesting that downward momentum is building. Capital flow is also not optimistic—recent hours have seen significant net outflows, indicating selling pressure in the market. Additionally, the community has been discussing supply distribution issues; a considerable amount of AVAX remains unreleased, and once unlocked, it could impact market sentiment.

Overall, AVAX's fundamentals are building a long-term story, but the short-term technicals need to digest this selling pressure. Institutional positioning and ecosystem development show that the market believes in this project's prospects. The technical adjustments are more like corrections in expectations rather than a change in direction.

AVAX-0,51%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

10 Likes

Reward
10
7
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

NotSatoshi

· 7h ago

Honestly, the institutions are indeed accumulating positions, but the selling pressure this time really can't be sustained. It feels like we have to wait for the unlocking of the shoes to drop before we can breathe a sigh of relief.

View OriginalReply0

WhaleWatcher

· 01-15 23:37

Institutional entry is real, but this wave of decline feels like a shakeout... In the RWA track, holding the third position, unable to push the price up.

View OriginalReply0

LiquidatedTwice

· 01-15 12:00

It's the same old spiel again, talking about fundamentals in the long term and short-term pressures, just like a comic dialogue. I just want to ask, when will Grayscale's ETF plan come to fruition? It's been two months and there's still no news.

View OriginalReply0

LostBetweenChains

· 01-15 11:59

Institutions are positioning themselves, the ecosystem is growing, but the technical side is still bleeding... a typical tug-of-war between fundamentals and short-term momentum. --- RWA ranking third sounds good, but can it really handle this wave? Feels a bit overly optimistic. --- Grayscale's ETF is coming? Then let's wait and see, that will be the real test. --- The issue of supply distribution has always been a hidden risk. Who knows what will happen once it's unlocked. --- To put it simply, good news is all in the long term, while the short term is a tug-of-war between continuing to buy the dip or avoiding it. --- Moving averages crossing bearish, MACD turning negative... this correction hasn't bottomed out yet, right? --- Cumulative trading volume surpassing one trillion sounds impressive, but with the current awkward price, it's a bit ironic. --- Instead of looking at the fundamentals, better to see who will run first... --- Wait, is NASDAQ inclusion and ETF planning real or just hype? Any confirmation? --- Short-term selling pressure is obvious. Are institutions really seriously positioning, or is this the night before they cut the leeks?

View OriginalReply0

MEVHunterLucky

· 01-15 11:59

Institutions are really accumulating chips. If Grayscale's ETF gets approved, retail investors will have to line up to buy the dip.

View OriginalReply0

GasFeeNightmare

· 01-15 11:55

Staring at the market again late at night. Seeing the MACD turn negative tells me that gas fees will rise again today... Institutional positioning is good news, but what I care more about is when I can buy in cheaply. Those who are entering now have to pay for the locked-up AVAX waiting to be unlocked.

View OriginalReply0

CommunityLurker

· 01-15 11:32

It looks like institutions are again eating up chips, and retail investors are cutting their losses—old story. --- I didn't expect RWA to rank third in the track; that's the real highlight. --- MACD turning negative and all that, I'm already numb. The key is when those uncirculated coins will be released. --- If Grayscale's ETF really gets approved, this dip is a golden opportunity—just depends on whether you're willing to buy the dip. --- A trillion in trading volume sounds intimidating, but it really depends on the number of genuine users—don't let it all be fake volume. --- Institutional entry and ecosystem development are all positive, but if short-term stop-losses can't be implemented, long-term stories are just talk. --- Feels like we're just waiting for that "expectation correction" to actually materialize; we're still in the middle of it. --- The inclusion of NASDAQ and CME is indeed a big event, but why did the price drop instead? That's abnormal. --- I am optimistic about subnet expansion, but games and NFTs haven't taken off yet—don't get your hopes up prematurely. --- Obvious outflows indicate that some have already seen the risks; not everyone is so optimistic.

View OriginalReply0