2026-01-15 11:26:00

看大盘这波行情，双顶形态基本成型了。接下来2-3天反弹，我预计会冲到4140-4150这个区间，但能不能突破是另一回事。

关键问题在这儿——4150到4190之间堆了太多套牢盘，而且主要集中在那些高位股上，这些筹码想短期解套？难度不小。所以即便反弹到位，也很可能在这带遭遇压力。

从操作角度讲，当前就俩上车点值得关注：4098附近的前顶，还有4034附近的前高。如果你在4098附近建仓了，等反弹到4140-4150这个区间可以考虑先出来落袋为安。后面大概率还有二次机会——指数冲高回落后再踩一遍4098，甚至有可能探到4034，然后进入区间震荡。提前布局的话，这个节奏要心里有数。

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ClassicDumpster

· 01-18 11:20

Is it a double top again? Bro, this trick can be told three hundred times a year. Can 4150 really break through? I think it's doubtful... Wait, with so many trapped positions piled up, doesn't that mean it has to keep falling? Should have cut at 4098 a long time ago. What's the point of saying it now? This rebound is just a trap to shake out the weak hands. Stop messing around.

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MetaMasked

· 01-17 16:35

It's another double top, and a pile of trapped orders. After all that, isn't it just bouncing back and forth between 4098 and 4034?

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StakoorNeverSleeps

· 01-16 09:54

Double top is just a double top, anyway I entered at 4098. After selling at 4140 this time, I'll wait for the second entry. The strategy is very clear.

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AirdropJunkie

· 01-15 12:00

Another double top? I'm already tired of it. Every day someone is shouting double top, and what’s the result?

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fren.eth

· 01-15 11:56

It's both a double top and a trapped position, which sounds quite complicated. But honestly, it just means waiting for a rebound to 4150 to exit, right?

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AirdropAnxiety

· 01-15 11:56

Double top? Another one. This wave at 4150 feels really risky, the trapped positions are really crushing. Waiting for a second chance again, the market is just so torturous. That 4098 point is unavoidable, it feels like we're going to get smashed again this time. Brothers who planned ahead must have a good mindset. I can't hold on anymore.

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ReverseTradingGuru

· 01-15 11:54

It's another double top and a trapping position. These explanations are quite old and common. The key question is, can 4150 really break through? I think, rather than pondering these technical aspects, it's better to ask yourself if you have chips at 4098. If not, it's not too late to buy back on the rebound. Honestly, this wave of market movement is a bit dull and lacks a爆点.

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ChainPoet

· 01-15 11:51

4150 is really a bottleneck, the trapped positions are too stubborn, the rebound can only struggle around here.

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MissingSats

· 01-15 11:35

4098 that level is really a hurdle, with so many trapped positions, a rebound is pointless Exactly, the probability of a second bottom is quite high, but whether 4034 can really be hit depends on the situation We've been prepared long ago, just waiting for the moment of a sharp rise followed by a pullback 4150 is a critical resistance level, it feels like it will get stuck, history always repeats itself Taking profits and securing gains is the safest move, don't be greedy for that small floating profit

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