2026-01-15 11:24:06

A seasoned crypto analyst recently pointed out on social media that there are interesting technical signals in the BTC to gold ratio. The weekly RSI indicator has fallen to 27.54, entering the typical oversold zone.

Looking back at history, similar extreme sell-offs often precede rebounds. Key bottoms appeared in 2015 and 2018, after which BTC's performance relative to gold often doubled. This time, the situation is a bit different—data from late 2025 shows that this ratio has hit a three-year low.

From a macro perspective, changes in the global economic landscape may continue to boost Bitcoin's attractiveness relative to gold in 2026. The underlying logic is quite straightforward: as the market re-prices risk assets, digital currencies, as emerging assets, will gradually gain more influence.

The analyst's historical prediction record is also quite good; they previously accurately predicted that Ethereum would face correction pressure in November, with a drop below $3100 signaling the start of a bear market. While these views are not infallible, they do provide market participants with some reference points.

BTC-0,28%

ETH-1,03%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

5 Likes

Reward
5
5
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

RugResistant

· 01-15 11:57

RSI 27 is really outrageous, but every time I see this kind of signal, I think of the days when I was trapped... Will history repeat itself?

View OriginalReply0

GoldDiggerDuck

· 01-15 11:52

27.54 RSI, is it really coming again? It feels like every time I say a rebound is coming, the more I wait, the more it drops. Talking about history repeating itself, but in 2025 it’s already hitting new lows. This time, it’s really different, right? That analyst is reliable, but predictions are just predictions. I still trust the candlestick charts. Who can be sure what will happen next year? Instead of waiting for macro re-pricing, it’s better to stay alive and earn some spread.

View OriginalReply0

LayerZeroHero

· 01-15 11:51

RSI 27.54 Is it really about to take off? It's easy to say history will repeat itself, but this time is different, brother, hitting a three-year low here. Doubling in value sounds great, but who dares to guarantee it's not just the prelude to being trapped again? The macro logic sounds impressive, but when will this guy hit the mark again... Just take it as a reference, the real decision is up to you. He also didn't predict Ethereum perfectly before, right? I just want to ask—when will the rebound of BTC/Gold come this time? How long do we have to wait? A three-year low about to explode? I feel like it could go even lower... The story of 2026 is already starting to be told; is it a bit early?

View OriginalReply0

RugDocDetective

· 01-15 11:43

27.54 RSI? Alright, sounds tempting, but I still need to see how this guy's previous predictions turned out. Forget it, rather than chasing the bottom, it's better to wait for confirmation signals. Gold is much more stable than BTC. This time is really different, a three-year low is right there. Can the historical template be applied? Doubling growth? Sounds good, but the story for 2026 hasn't been written yet. Betting now is just gambling. Raising the discourse power of digital currencies? Let's survive this correction first. How many times has RSI tricked me? Every time it says oversold and rebounds, but it keeps falling. Damn, another "history repeats itself" argument, but it does give some ideas. Still, don't believe it all. The macro logic sounds right, but the question is the execution level. 2026 is still early. This guy's previous Ethereum judgments were quite accurate, so I'm half skeptical about his BTC views this time.

View OriginalReply0