# Supreme Court Ruling on Global Tariffs Tomorrow at 10 AM EST Could Shake Crypto Markets

Tomorrow morning at 10 AM EST, a court decision will land—the U.S. Supreme Court will rule on the legality of global tariffs. It might seem far from the crypto sphere, but this interconnected system means one move affects everything. The market trajectory for 2026 could be completely disrupted by this ruling.

Don't think this is just a Wall Street issue. The entire crypto community is holding its breath tonight. High-leverage traders can't sleep, short-term traders are glued to their screens, completely unaware of the real power lurking behind this decision.

**The True Market Signal**

Check the data on prediction platform Polymarket—the probability that "tariffs will be ruled illegal" has surged to 76%. In other words, out of 10 traders betting real money, nearly 8 are wagering that the government will back down. This isn't gossip; this is the market voting with real capital.

Yet outside the industry, analysts are still shouting bullish takes, saying tariff cancellation equals a tax cut for consumers and can activate the market. You can listen to that, but take it with a grain of salt. These people haven't done the math—they haven't even worked through the basic financial logic.

**The Real Problem: "Refunds"**

Once tariffs are ruled illegal, what does the U.S. Treasury face? A refund hole. Conservative estimate: 600 billion dollars. If we're being generous: over 1 trillion. That's not a small number.

This is a trillion-dollar liquidity drain. Crypto assets are inherently high-risk, and history has already written the playbook—whenever traditional finance faces liquidity tightening, funds flee from crypto markets first. Remember when Trump's tariff policies kicked in during 2025? BTC dropped over 10% in two days, ETH plummeted 20%, and 1.6 billion in positions liquidated in 24 hours. That was under relatively adequate liquidity conditions. Now facing a trillion-dollar deficit, the consequences will only be more severe.

**Holding Assets Isn't Necessarily Safe Either**

Some might say: I'm a long-term holder, not a short-term trader—I should be fine, right? You're thinking too simply.

48 countries globally have already initiated crypto tax information exchanges. When the Treasury runs short on cash, what will it do? Ramp up crypto tax enforcement to plug the hole—that's entirely possible. Under 2025's tariff pressure, we already saw it: American mining companies faced skyrocketing costs from mining equipment tariffs, forcing them to either delay purchases or relocate overseas. The entire mining supply chain is under pressure. Do you really think your holdings can stay unscathed?

**How to Respond Now**

I've already cleared out all high-leverage positions. My remaining spot holdings are long-term core assets—the kind that can weather short-term pullbacks.

My advice is simple: don't bet on luck. Short-term traders, skip the overnight watch tonight and get proper sleep—don't let rumors mislead you. Tomorrow is the first "stress test" for the 2026 crypto market. Whether you survive depends on your current position sizing and mindset.