Think about it this way: if insider trading really delivered those blockbuster returns everyone imagines, why would insiders bother leaking information at all? Most leaks floating around? They're usually because the actual edge isn't as sharp as it looks, or because these so-called insiders are sitting on positions that have gone sideways and they desperately need the liquidity. The real lesson here is simpler than you'd think—always trace back to what's actually motivating the move. Follow the incentives, not just the gossip.