2026-01-15 10:26:40

From the daily chart perspective, today's KDJ and MACD momentum have clearly slowed down, and the Bollinger Bands are still oscillating upward, but the strength has already weakened. Regarding moving averages, MA5 and MA10 are still crossing upward, and MA30 is repeatedly testing support at lower levels and gradually strengthening. Overall, the daily framework remains quite stable, but resilience is declining.

The 4-hour chart looks a bit different. Although the bulls are still present, the trading volume has significantly shrunk, which is a warning sign. Considering that there was no meaningful correction yesterday, today's market is likely to continue the previous trend, but short-term risks are accumulating. It is recommended to adopt a rebound-selling approach, specifically:

For Bitcoin, consider short positions in the 97000-97500 range, with a target of 95000. This level has been tested multiple times, and support is relatively clear.

For Ethereum, the rebound high is around 3360-3390. Shorting from this area is more prudent, with a target of 3260. This range has been repeatedly confirmed, and the support below is relatively strong.

The above is just my personal analysis. Specific operations should also consider your own risk tolerance.

BTC-0,4%

ETH-0,9%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

17 Likes

Reward
17
10
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

SandwichDetector

· 01-18 10:02

The signal of shrinking volume is spot on, it feels like another trap for the bears. --- 97000-97500 short positions? I'm just watching. Last time I did this, I got eaten alive. --- These moving averages are telling stories again; anyone who believes them is losing money. --- Ethereum is still on the sidelines; I dare not touch around 3360. --- I've heard the phrase "short-term risk accumulation" too many times, but the market always moves in the opposite direction. --- The Bollinger Bands are oscillating upward but losing momentum; there's really a lot of words. --- Rebound and short? I'll wait for a real correction before making any moves. --- Is the support at 95000 clear? Maybe not even next year. --- The shrinking trading volume suggests a correction, but don't be fooled by fake moves. --- The targets of 95000 and 3260 seem a bit optimistic.

View OriginalReply0

EternalMiner

· 01-17 23:36

75,000 Short? Still daring to chase after a shrinking volume when shorting, impressive courage. With decreasing volume and no clear direction, this rebound still seems to have some more twists and turns. If it can't hold 3,260, it's dangerous. Ethereum's recent fluctuations are a bit annoying. When resilience declines, it's time to wait; there's no need to gamble on key levels. MA30 is still testing; wait until a true breakdown before taking action, don't rush. In this kind of market, shorting is easy to get caught off guard; be careful not to hit stop-loss. Is the 95,000 support really that solid? There are still more levels below. With 4-hour consolidation, risk control is necessary; don't get caught up in the hype.

View OriginalReply0

CompoundPersonality

· 01-16 15:49

成交量萎缩这玩意儿我最怕了，每次都是这样然后就砸下来嗯，97000短线可以试试，但我还是觉得没调整就往下捅有点猛 eth那个3360我盯了好久，感觉还能继续冲一冲反弹做空思路倒是清楚，关键看自己心理能不能吃得住亏这次放缓我看八成是出货的前奏，韧性没了就该警惕

Reply0

NFTregretter

· 01-15 10:56

I hate volume shrinkage like this the most—it's a clear sign that risk is coming. Even though it's still going up, the momentum is clearly off. Short-term traders really should be cautious. Let me short one contract at 97500 and see. I think it can drop to 95000. This rebound is too fake. I'm waiting for it to crash. Is Ethereum at 3390 really the high? It's making me want to short it.

View OriginalReply0

MidnightTrader

· 01-15 10:51

It's starting to slow down again. Just wait patiently for the rebound to short; this wave really isn't exciting anymore. I'm confident about shorting Bitcoin at 97,500, but I'm just worried about another rebound. Ethereum has been pierced multiple times at this level; can 3260 really hold? It's a bit uncertain. Diminishing volume is a signal, but I will still wait for a clearer breakdown. If trading volume continues like this, a consolidation phase is coming.

View OriginalReply0

GasFeeCrier

· 01-15 10:49

Starting to accumulate risks again, huh? Every time you say that, then end up getting slapped in the face. The issue of declining volume is indeed a bit concerning. Can we still trust the 97,500 level? Is the 3,260 support strong? I feel like it breaks with just a poke. It's another rebound to short. How many times have we played this routine, brother? Better to stay on the sidelines for now. Wait for a real correction before taking action.

View OriginalReply0

ser_ngmi

· 01-15 10:49

The shrinking trading volume is a brilliant detail, it feels like a trend reversal is coming. I also think the recent rebound of BTC is a shorting opportunity; as long as 97500 isn't broken, I will keep holding. Ethereum is indeed holding at this level to prevent a fall, but it doesn't seem as strong below. Oh my, testing again and again, this market is so annoying. Anyone who entered a short at 97000 must be making a killing, I admire this precision. Waiting for a correction; if it doesn't happen, then forget it. The MA30 trend is interesting; it's gradually getting stronger. Short-term risks are indeed high, I still want to wait for a clear signal before taking action. I've been watching the 3260 support level for a long time; if it really drops, it will be a major event. I'm a bit tired, looking at these indicators every day.

View OriginalReply0

DegenWhisperer

· 01-15 10:32

成交量萎缩这事儿得上心，感觉要跌了啊反弹就砸，这套路咋每次都生效呢 97500空不空，得看今天的反应，反正我先等等量能这么菜，上去也是虚的吧 3360附近有点心动，但还想再观望一下

Reply0

FromMinerToFarmer

· 01-15 10:31

I see the shrinking trading volume here, and I feel that the 97,000 level indeed presents significant resistance. The signal of weakening momentum is so obvious; it's safer to consider shorting on rebounds. I've noted the 3260 line; I'll watch it next time. This round of market feels to be lacking in resilience. The strong movement of the MA30 is quite interesting; paying attention wasn't in vain.

View OriginalReply0

RetroHodler91

· 01-15 10:29

The shrinking trading volume is quite interesting, it feels like something's about to happen. The phrase "resilience is decreasing" doesn't sit well with me; could it be a pullback again? BTC97000 rebound to short? We need to see if it can really stabilize; anyway, I won't be bottom-fishing. Ethereum at three or four thousand soon; I think we should be cautious at this level. The biggest risk in this kind of market is a sudden large retracement; the previous gains could disappear overnight. The Bollinger Bands are still oscillating, indicating that the main players haven't decided on a direction yet. Let's wait and see. Trading volume is the most reliable indicator; shrinking volume is a signal.

View OriginalReply0