The community has been a bit noisy these days. This morning, while the goji tea was still steaming, the backend messages started flooding in—eight out of ten people are debating whether ETH will continue to fall, and the remaining two are treating shorting as a lifeline. I looked at the market charts for a while and couldn’t help but chuckle.

Your reactions are like pedestrians who start knocking on the bus door halfway through closing, not realizing the driver is just waiting for the red light. When you're anxious, you start making reckless moves, which is the easiest trap for retail investors to fall into.

First, let’s cool down this panic. Recklessly shorting now is no different than standing on high-speed rail tracks and betting the train will reverse—it's a suicidal move. Don’t scream "it can’t go up anymore" just because you see a short-term pullback on a K-line, and don’t be fooled by MACD signals into thinking it’s a bottoming opportunity. Frankly, retail investors’ instincts have almost no chance against the main players’ strategic layouts.

Let’s stick to the 1-hour chart data—that’s what truly matters. Looking back at the recent rally from 3060 to 3380, that wasn’t just bluffing. The volume bars tell the real story: each one is solidly rising, indicating real money is entering the market, and funds are genuinely participating.

Currently, we’re stuck around 3330, repeatedly rubbing against resistance. Many people are anxious, thinking this is a "signal of a decline." But this is the time to look deeper. Carefully observe the volume during sideways correction—those volume bars are as thin as chopsticks. What does that mean? A crucial piece of information: the main players are still in the game, with no signs of dumping.

What does real dumping look like? It’s a sharp decline with high volume, with chips frantically pouring into the market, and the order book filled with despair. The current pattern of "small fluctuations with low volume" essentially indicates the main players are adjusting their positions and taking a breather. In technical terms, this pattern is called a "bull flag"—the previous large bullish candle is like the flagpole, and the sideways range is the flag surface. Industry insiders know that as long as the flag surface doesn’t break below key support levels, the subsequent breakout can be very powerful.

From another perspective, what does low-volume consolidation indicate? Retail investors are cutting losses, some are waiting on the sidelines, and the main players? They are quietly building or maintaining positions. This relatively calm atmosphere is often the prelude to a major move. Don’t be scared by short-term fluctuations, and definitely don’t follow the herd into shorting—that only makes you the bagholder.