Tracking Congress ETF: Are These Political Trading Funds Worth Your Money?

The Rise of Congress-Tracking ETFs: What You Need to Know

Last year, two controversial exchange-traded funds hit the market with a bold premise: let retail investors mirror the stock picks of members of Congress. The Unusual Whales Subversive Democratic ETF (NANC) and the Unusual Whales Subversive Republican ETF (KRUZ), both launched in early 2023, aimed to capitalize on the theory that politicians have legislative insight unavailable to ordinary traders.

The concept is straightforward—these Congress ETF products automatically buy and sell stocks based on publicly disclosed trades by U.S. senators and representatives. Both charge an annual expense ratio of 0.74% ($7.40 per $1,000 invested), reflecting the active management required to track political trading patterns.

Performance Divergence: Democratic Outpaces Republican Trades

When comparing recent returns, the gap between the two Congress-tracking funds is striking. Here’s how they stack up against the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO), a broad market baseline:

Period Democratic Fund Republican Fund Vanguard S&P 500
Year to date 13.52% 12.73% 11.44%
Past 12 months 20.33% 15.37% 17.75%
2024 calendar year 26.83% 14.45% 24.98%

The Democratic-focused Congress ETF has delivered notably stronger gains, though neither fund has accumulated sufficient history to establish a reliable long-term track record. The 12-month advantage reflects a 4.96 percentage-point spread—a meaningful but not extraordinary difference in volatile markets.

Dissecting the Holdings: Why Performance Diverges

What the Democratic Congress ETF Holds

The Democratic fund concentrates heavily in mega-cap technology stocks. Its top 10 positions account for roughly half the portfolio’s value, with Nvidia alone representing 10.45% of assets. Microsoft (7.93%), Amazon (5.20%), and Alphabet (4.29%) round out the tech-heavy core. The fund’s 149 total holdings show it’s betting on the same market darlings that have dominated recent bull markets.

This concentration explains both the fund’s relative strength and its vulnerability. When technology stocks surge—as they have in recent years—the Democratic Congress ETF rides that wave. But turnover runs at 62%, indicating constant rebalancing as politicians adjust their portfolios. That churn can generate tax inefficiency and drag on returns.

What the Republican Congress ETF Looks Like

By contrast, Republican representatives have favored a more diversified approach across 143 holdings. The top positions reveal a different philosophy: Comfort Systems USA (5.02%), JPMorgan Chase (4.78%), AT&T (2.74%), and Chevron (2.12%) suggest a lean toward financials, telecommunications, and energy rather than growth-at-any-cost technology stocks.

This mix delivers slightly higher dividend yields (though still below 1%) and lower concentration risk. The Republican Congress ETF’s top 10 positions comprise only about one-third of assets, offering more balance but also less exposure to the mega-cap rally that fueled broader market gains.

The Core Problem: Politicians Aren’t Professional Investors

Here’s the uncomfortable truth: having legislative access doesn’t automatically make someone a skilled investor. Members of Congress face constant lobbying pressure, vote based on party loyalty and constituent interests, and sometimes make trading decisions influenced by factors completely unrelated to investment merit.

The fund’s reliance on disclosed trades creates another friction point. There’s often a lag between when politicians trade and when the Congress ETF can reflect those moves. By the time a particular stock enters the portfolio based on a politician’s purchase, the initial momentum may have already passed.

Should You Invest in These Congress ETFs?

The case against: Both funds underperformed the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF during the 12-month period (20.33% vs 17.75% for the Democratic fund; 15.37% for the Republican), despite claiming insider knowledge. A passive index approach with a 0.03% expense ratio vastly outpaces the 0.74% Congress ETF fee. Over decades, that fee difference compounds dramatically.

The realistic verdict: These Congress-tracking ETFs work better as novelty instruments than serious long-term positions. If you’re curious about congressional trading patterns from an analytical perspective, they offer transparency. But for wealth building, the historical track record of diversified index funds remains far superior. The democratic and republican Congress ETF experiment demonstrates that legislative access alone doesn’t generate market-beating returns.

Consider whether you’d rather pay 0.74% annually to follow politicians’ trades, or 0.03% to track proven market performance. The math strongly favors the latter.

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
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