Let's talk about the recent market changes over the past few days.



The market has experienced quite a few fluctuations lately. A few days ago, the rally was quite strong, but in the past two days, there has been significant pressure—commercial aerospace sector plunging, frequent limit-downs, and a noticeable correction in AI concepts. At first glance, it looks quite alarming, but upon closer reflection, this is actually the market doing something very important: cooling down the overheated hotspots from earlier speculation.

Why is this a good thing? If such frenzy continues to spread, it will likely repeat old patterns—an all-out surge followed by a collapse when investors can't bear the pressure, leading to a collective plunge. At that point, all market participants will suffer. Instead of waiting for that moment, it’s better to proactively cool things down now at the early signs. This kind of proactive suppression is much gentler than a passive crash.

However, cooling down ≠ market end; this needs to be understood clearly. Looking at the performance of the main index, it remains quite strong. Only when the index also drops sharply does it indicate a clear negative shock. Before that, it still makes sense to remain optimistic about the upward trend. Just don’t expect the kind of explosive gains seen before—occasional large bullish days are normal, but they won’t happen continuously. The more likely pattern is: after a big rally, sideways consolidation or a slow upward move.

Tomorrow’s key focus should be whether the stocks that surged today can continue their momentum. From the observations, advanced packaging performed the strongest today, and concepts like storage chips, lithography machines, and PCBs also stood out. This indicates the market is searching for new directions, with funds rebalancing. Judging by the strength, this looks more like institutional money’s choice—more rational and less crazy. The crucial point tomorrow is whether retail investors and other funds follow suit and recognize this, forming a joint effort to push the market higher.

Of course, funds might also reverse course and flow back into AI applications again. Both scenarios are possible. Even those sectors that haven't been heavily speculated on yet could rebound as well. After all, funds that were knocked down from high levels need a new place to go, and new directions often become the next absorption points. As long as trading volume stays around 3 trillion, the market’s activity level and risk management capacity remain intact, so there’s no need to worry too much.
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ShortingEnthusiastvip
· 01-17 17:59
Is this the same old story again? Is cooling down a good thing? To me, it just looks like institutions are shaking out the weak hands. Hey, wait a minute, is this the relay for advanced packaging? Is this a signal that they're changing the trend? They say it nicely, but isn't it just because they're afraid retail investors will keep blindly buying in? Can a transaction volume of three trillion hold up? This time, I lean towards bearish. AI is just getting started. Is it really reasonable to hit so hard now? Haha, funds are looking for a place to go. Honestly, it's just about cutting the leeks. Before coming down, I already went short. Let's see who can laugh last.
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SchrodingerWalletvip
· 01-17 15:24
Cooling down is a good thing, always better than blowing up to the sky and then falling to death Wait, can advanced packaging really catch this wave of funds, it feels a bit虚啊 Can retail investors keep up with institutional pace, that's the real question Always talking about optimism, what if the index drops, what to do As long as the 3 trillion yuan in funds is still there, that's fine, I'm just so honest Basically, it's a gamble on capital flow, no one can predict where the next hot spot will be I'm bearish on AI this time, it's too crazy, cooling down is what the market deserves Sideways consolidation is the most disgusting, might as well just drop directly, at least knowing where the bottom is Advanced packaging? It looks like the start of another round of hype As long as the trading volume is maintained, there's no need to be afraid, this logic is sound
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Frontrunnervip
· 01-15 10:49
Cooling down is very normal, it's been obvious for a while. I'm just worried that retail investors are still chasing highs, and then another round of cutting leeks. Advanced packaging is getting popular quite quickly; we'll see if it can hold up tomorrow. This wave of funds is indeed looking for new absorption points; as long as the trading volume remains, it's manageable. A pullback in AI isn't a bad thing; it provides an opportunity to reallocate. It all depends on who can bottom out first. The most testing period for patience is during sideways consolidation; a sharp rise won't come again. Institutions are acting, retail investors haven't caught up yet; tomorrow should be interesting. Forget it, I'll wait until the index drops before thinking about selling. The trading volume of three trillion yuan is steady, indicating that the main players haven't run away; continue to observe. Where the fallen funds flow to is the key point; that's what to watch for tomorrow. Currently, those buying are probably just lifting the previous bagholders.
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PseudoIntellectualvip
· 01-15 10:42
Cooling down is just a shakeout; don't be fooled, institutions are accumulating shares.
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GateUser-00be86fcvip
· 01-15 10:39
Cooling down doesn't mean it's the end, I agree with that. But to be honest, it still depends on whether retail investors can keep up with the institutions' pace, otherwise it will just be another round of the same old story of leek farmers harvesting leek farmers.
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GweiObservervip
· 01-15 10:31
哈,这波确实像是市场自我调节啊,与其等崩盘不如现在就冷静冷静 能明白你的逻辑,但老哥别太乐观了,指数强势≠没风险 先进封装这波是真的,机构在挑选新跑道呢 成交量还维持住就还有得玩,三万亿这门槛得守住 散户跟不跟风才是明天的看点,这决定了后续能不能接力
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MEVHunterBearishvip
· 01-15 10:23
The market has a new approach, and this wave of advanced packaging is quite interesting. Really, it's better than constantly chasing after AI madness... Just wait and see if retail investors follow tomorrow. Hmm... as long as the trading volume is still there, I'll keep holding. This pullback is actually creating space for the next wave.
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