#DeFi生态发展 The prediction market is really taking off this time. Starting from the hype around the US presidential election last year, it has skyrocketed this year. Weekly trading volume has surpassed $2 billion, Polymarket is estimated to be worth $9 billion, and major players like Robinhood and CNN are entering the space, giving the impression that the prediction market is replaying the early days of DeFi.

The most remarkable development is the shift in regulatory attitude. The CFTC has moved from vague statements to directly reflecting on the "legal traps" it caused, which is truly a green light. Platforms like Kalshi, Limitless, and Myriad are experiencing explosive growth, with trading volumes multiplying several times over in just a few months.

The prediction of $95.5 billion might be a bit aggressive, but a 47% compound annual growth rate doesn’t seem entirely unrealistic. The ecosystem around prediction market trading terminals, data, collateral, and other components is just beginning to take shape, and this sector might still have many stories to tell. However, there are still frictions in Texas and New York, which could lead to fluctuations in the short term, depending on how things develop moving forward.