2026-01-15 09:29:12

Recently observing the trend of ETH, I have discovered some interesting market patterns.

From the perspective of large capital, their gameplay is actually very clear: first, wash out a batch of chips, wait for retail investors to can't resist buying spot, and after the price is continuously driven up, they dump at high levels to harvest. This cycle repeats, cutting off those traders who hedge and have unstable psychology.

I believe the bottom of this round should be around the 2700 range. The subsequent trend should be a steady climb because mainstream coins need time to accumulate chips. Large capital won't dump too quickly—if they do, retail investors will lose confidence, and subsequent price increases won't have anyone to take the bait. So they will control the pace, gradually push the price higher, and lure more people into the market.

This logic is even more evident in the altcoins of the primary market. Only by continuously pushing higher can they attract retail FOMO to enter, then dump at a certain high point. But as a mainstream currency, ETH's operation method will be more gentle.

Based on this understanding, my strategy is: just wait now. Wait until the price breaks through 4900 or even higher, then it will be the real long-term shorting opportunity. Until then, stay observant and let the market unfold this cycle on its own.

ETH-4,19%

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SneakyFlashloan

· 01-18 09:27

Alright, alright, it's the same old manipulation theory again, do you really think big players are that naive? Wait, why does your logic always seem a bit off? 2700 is the bottom? I remember it even dropped below that. Honestly, who really knows? Anyway, I caught a wave and now I'm just relaxing and watching. This kind of analysis is just for listening, don't take it too seriously, bro. You only turn bearish after breaking 4900? Then you'd be waiting forever. The market is all about probabilities; no one can predict it exactly.

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TestnetNomad

· 01-18 07:56

It's the same old chopping leeks theory, but this time the logic actually holds up. Waiting for 4900? That seems a bit optimistic. What if it doesn't reach and just pulls back? Are the main players really that transparent? I feel like I'm always proven wrong. Forget it, just hold on. Anyway, it's a gambler's mindset.

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MevHunter

· 01-17 12:10

Alright, it's the same old story of cutting leeks. My ears are getting calloused from hearing it. Waiting for 4900 to turn bearish? Brother, do you even believe your own predictions? Does big capital really have such a foolhardy plan to lay out step by step? I think you're trapped too deep. Bottom at 2700? Wake up, this round hasn't even started yet. Talking as if you see through the whole world, but in the end, you're just waiting and watching. May I ask, did you say this strategy half a year ago? Mainstream coins are steadily climbing, why don't you just say they'll definitely rise? Anyway, it's all a gamble. How come I hear this rhythm control logic every time? 4900? Is that for this year or next year?

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SchrodingerProfit

· 01-15 09:59

Your theory sounds good, but I don't think the market maker is that gentle... Wait, 2700 is the bottom? That's a bit optimistic, buddy. The essence of trading cryptocurrencies is like this, nothing new, just see who reacts faster. You're right, now it's just waiting, but I can't bet on 4900.

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GreenCandleCollector

· 01-15 09:58

Hmm... it's the same harvest theory again, I've seen it many times. Retail investors' mentality is indeed fragile, but your logical flaw is quite significant. Only bearish at 4900? By then, the shovels will have already run away.

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MetaverseHobo

· 01-15 09:54

The tactics of big capital are indeed so simple and straightforward. Retail investors are still struggling with technical analysis. Waiting until 4900 to short? That's too cautious. I think we need to see the strength of the break. That's right, during the accumulation phase of chips, rushing is not appropriate. It just looks uncomfortable. This process of harvesting retail investors' profits has been repeated for so many years, and there are still people who believe in it? Mainstream coins are handled cautiously to avoid market stagnation; otherwise, how else would they continue to harvest?

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PseudoIntellectual

· 01-15 09:51

It's another set of market maker shakeout theories. Every time it's the same story, and what’s the result? To be honest, I've heard the judgment of a 2700 bottom too many times. Waiting for 4900? Bro, are you sure you're not waiting for an eternal wait? Accumulating chips, controlling the rhythm, gentle operations... all sound right, but the market never follows the script.

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liquidation_surfer

· 01-15 09:47

Laughing to death, it's the same old chip washing theory. Do big players really have so much free time? Waiting for 4900? Bro, you're way too optimistic. The previous wave has already been wiped out on the beach. I already bought the dip at 2700. Now I'm just holding on tight and waiting for a rebound. Don't ask me about my mindset. This explanation sounds plausible, but in reality, it's easy to get trapped once you start playing. No one can predict accurately. The tactics of big capital are indeed routine, but retail investors are no longer fools. More and more people are starting to see through this.

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GateUser-7b078580

· 01-15 09:29

Wait a moment, the data shows that this wave is just bottoming out, and historical lows often test this repeatedly... Although it all sounds right, the problem is I can't even afford my gas fees anymore.

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