#Strategy加仓BTC Bitcoin's rebound from the blue point level belongs to a large-scale joint correction wave (double three-wave structure). Breaking it down, the blue line's large W wave may consist of a triple three-wave or an leading wedge pattern, the red line's large X wave also forms a double three-wave, while the Y wave starting from the green point opens up new development space.

The green line has currently completed a cycle of 5-wave impulsive movement. The short-term resistance level is precisely at 98.009 yuan, with a high of 97.963 yuan, which aligns perfectly with the expected trend. It is worth noting that January 15th coincides with an important turning point in Gann theory, and a short-term top signal indeed appeared on that day. The subsequent performance should be a slight correction.

There are two key judgments about the future trend:

**Version A (20% probability)**: If the green line only completes a 5-wave impulsive move, and the blue line's large W wave is indeed a leading wedge pattern that cannot break through the 98.009 yuan threshold, then this marks the mid-term rebound top starting from the blue point, with a low probability of peaking mid-term.

**Version B (80% probability)**: If the green line develops into a larger-scale impulsive wave, or if the blue line's large W wave is not a leading wedge pattern, then the current level is far from the peak of the mid-term rebound. There are two key resistance levels above—around 103.410 yuan near the 5-day KC upper band proposed on November 21, and the weekly KC upper band at 106.600 yuan. Based on historical trends from early 2022, in extreme cases, it may reach even higher levels.

In the short term, focus on the support at the 1-hour KC lower band. If broken, it is necessary to defend the 4-hour BBI or the 4-hour KC lower band (reference at 95.576 yuan). The defensive line on the daily chart is the daily BBI; as long as the price stays above this area for three consecutive days, the rebound will continue. Otherwise, the mid-term rebound starting from the blue point will come to an end. This analytical framework is based on the confirmation of multiple technical cycle linkages, allowing traders to formulate corresponding risk management strategies.