Smart money doesn't wait for headlines—it positions ahead.

Across prediction markets right now, there's notable activity around geopolitical scenarios. Between January 14-16, positions are building out with $3-5k per contract, riding convexity that runs 6-7x deep.

When capital starts moving in tight windows like this, it's telegraphing something: either serious edge or serious conviction (or both). The broader liquidity picture tells its own story—these aren't random retail bets. They're calculated. They're sizing into tail risk.

Market microstructure doesn't lie. Watch where the money flows before the news catches up.