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January 15, 2026 BTC Contract Key Technical Levels
The current price is experiencing its first significant correction after the main upward wave of the long-term bull market, a typical high-probability "bull retracement" opportunity. Abandon speculation, focus on "using the first correction in the bull market to heavily ambush at key support levels."
Core Trading Logic:
• From a macro perspective, the price has clearly broken through the long-term downtrend line with a giant bullish candle, and the monthly moving averages are diverging bullishly. This structure signifies the end of the long-term downtrend and the start of a new bull market main upward wave. However, the bull market is volatile, and the first correction is a golden buying point.
• From a medium-term perspective, the weekly chart shows a long upper shadow bullish candle, indicating resistance at the 100,000 level. This is a normal technical correction within a bull market, with 90,450.7 being the core support zone.
• From a short-term perspective, after reaching a new high of 97,888.0, the price pulled back, and the daily chart closed bearish. RSI divergence on 4-hour and 1-hour charts confirms this. The structure is defined as the first correction within the bull market main upward wave (Wave A or Wave 4), with the target being the key support zone below.
Bull-Bear Divide / Bull Market Lifeline: 90,450.7 USDT (the starting point of this round of bull market main upward wave; if not broken, the bull market pattern is merely a "bull retracement").
Resistance Levels (Rebound Resistance / Profit-taking Zone):
P3: 100,000.0 (core psychological barrier)
P2: 97,888.0 (previous high, strong resistance)
P1: 96,800.0 (recent resistance level, first rebound target)
Support Levels (Core Long Entry Zones):
S1: 94,500.0 (near the 24-hour low of 94,501.9, first technical and psychological support)
S2: 92,000.0 (daily level support, strong 4-hour structure support, high probability of long entries)
S3: 90,450.7 (bull market lifeline, ultimate long position zone, touching here is a strong buy signal with very high odds)
Probability Trading Discipline:
1. The above levels are technical estimations, not exact points; orders can be placed with a fluctuation of 100-150 points around these levels.
2. Today's stop-loss distance: 2200 points (take-profit distance; beginners can set at 1:1, experienced traders should execute and reduce positions by 50%-75% after moving to break-even to protect capital).
3. Max two preset trades per day (long and short ambush).
4. If daily loss reaches 10% of capital, forced shutdown and rest.
Probability Trading Conclusion:
The market is in the first healthy correction of the bull market, which is the most valuable high-probability opportunity within a bull trend. The high-probability strategy is: abandon shorting ideas, only deploy long positions in batches at key support levels, use staggered entries to smooth costs, and prepare for a new upward wave after the correction ends. All operations must strictly include stop-loss, with fixed risk setups, and use a consistent 1:1 profit-loss ratio to let market inertia pay the reward. By consistently executing this simple, repetitive system, you will achieve stable profits.
Disclaimer: This content is compiled from public market analysis and historical data, intended for informational reference only, not investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile; all investment decisions should be based on independent research.