Attention-based Prediction Markets: A Market Viability Question

The concept of building prediction markets specifically for attention metrics raises an interesting strategic question: Is there genuine demand for such a niche application?

More importantly, if this use case truly resonates with users, why haven't established prediction market platforms—with their existing user bases, liquidity, and infrastructure—already captured this opportunity? The barriers to entry are relatively low once you have an established PM ecosystem.

It's worth considering whether attention metrics alone create a compelling enough reason to spin up an entirely new prediction market vertical, or whether the existing infrastructure could adapt to serve this demand more efficiently. The survival of such a project would heavily depend on network effects and whether enough participants see genuine value in forecasting attention-related outcomes.

This touches on a broader theme in crypto: not every idea that sounds innovative in theory translates into sustainable product-market fit.