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Yesterday, U.S. President Trump made a major announcement from the White House — he claimed to have received assurances from Iran that they would stop "killing" protesters and explicitly denied any execution plans. Once this statement was made, the international markets reacted instantly: oil prices dropped accordingly, with a short-term decline of up to 4%.
The magnitude of this reaction clearly demonstrates how much geopolitical risks can influence the energy markets. A single policy signal can trigger the nerves of the global oil and gas market, which is not surprising.
Interestingly, just a few days ago, Trump was still rallying support for opposition groups within Iran, even hinting that if the situation worsened, "action" might be taken. In just a few days, from a tough stance to a gesture of goodwill, this attitude reversal is somewhat theatrical.
Is this truly a diplomatic breakthrough, or a tactical adjustment? Market analysts generally believe that every fluctuation in U.S.-Iran relations can cause waves in the global energy market. The Middle East situation once again proves its role as the "powder keg" of global politics and economics — any small policy change could trigger a chain reaction.
What is the political logic behind this game of chess? What are your thoughts on the direction of this situation?