2026-01-14 18:33:19

Look at enough winning founders, you'll spot a pattern—always the same two types.

First kind? Too brilliant to sweat the downside. They see the opportunity so clearly, every problem feels like noise.

Second kind? Straight up can't see the danger coming. Oblivious isn't even the word—it's armor.

Both get results. Both take the swing. The gap between them? Just a different flavor of confidence.

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SolidityJester

· 2h ago

Basically, it's survivor bias—penalize me with a drink. There are way too many failed founders.

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JustHodlIt

· 8h ago

To be honest, I've seen both types, but the first one is more prone to failure... that kind of being too clever backfires.

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BlockTalk

· 8h ago

Nah, these two are really the perfect examples of survivor bias; even the founders who have died were once this confident.

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UnluckyMiner

· 8h ago

NGL, both are survivor bias, right? Failed founders are also confident.

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WalletDetective

· 8h ago

Basically, these two types of people are just two perspectives of survivor bias. Even the failures are this confident.

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BearEatsAll

· 8h ago

To be honest, I've seen both types, but the ones that can actually make money are often the second kind...

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ForkMaster

· 8h ago

In plain terms, it's just gamblers' mentality disguised as entrepreneurial spirit. Over the years of raising three kids, I've seen too many project teams; very few truly successful ones haven't been walking a tightrope. The key is whether they can manage downside risks—I've seen many so-called clever founders during bear markets in mining, who dare to raise funds despite failing contract code audits. And the result... Sigh, I won't say more.

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