What people rarely discuss about prediction markets:
The reality is stark—92% of traders on such platforms end up with losses. Meanwhile, only 8% manage positive returns, and fewer than half a percent (0.48%) ever cross the $1,000 profit threshold.
Yet there's buzz around airdrops tied to these platforms, and sure, some participants might see gains. The catch? Most retail players get caught chasing gains without understanding the odds stacked against them. Before jumping in, ask yourself if you can afford to be part of the losing majority. The upside could be there, but the math says otherwise for most.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
10 Likes
Reward
10
10
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
ConfusedWhale
· 01-17 17:17
92% loss? Then I must be the chosen one, haha
View OriginalReply0
JustHereForMemes
· 01-16 13:27
92% loss? Then I must be among the 8%.
View OriginalReply0
GasBandit
· 01-16 09:19
92% loss... This data can't hold up anymore, it's really a casino.
View OriginalReply0
AirdropChaser
· 01-16 03:16
92% loss? I just want to know how that 0.48% was earned. Can you teach the brothers?
View OriginalReply0
ColdWalletGuardian
· 01-14 18:14
Still playing with a 92% loss? I really didn't expect that. It's not worth risking everything just for an airdrop.
View OriginalReply0
Blockblind
· 01-14 18:13
92% loss? Are the 8% of people real or is the data fake haha
View OriginalReply0
BakedCatFanboy
· 01-14 18:13
92% loss? Then I would be definitely cannon fodder, haha I can't even laugh anymore.
View OriginalReply0
AlphaWhisperer
· 01-14 18:10
92% of people are losing money. I just want to ask, who else is going all-in?
View OriginalReply0
FreeMinter
· 01-14 18:02
92% loss? I'm still wondering why so many people keep coming forward... The airdrop temptation is truly irresistible.
View OriginalReply0
FlashLoanLarry
· 01-14 17:50
nah the 0.48% number is wild... but here's what they're not mentioning—opportunity cost of capital sitting in these pools vs actual yield farming. liquidity depth on most prediction markets is basically nonexistent, which means slippage eats you alive before the math even matters. anyway, seen this movie before
What people rarely discuss about prediction markets:
The reality is stark—92% of traders on such platforms end up with losses. Meanwhile, only 8% manage positive returns, and fewer than half a percent (0.48%) ever cross the $1,000 profit threshold.
Yet there's buzz around airdrops tied to these platforms, and sure, some participants might see gains. The catch? Most retail players get caught chasing gains without understanding the odds stacked against them. Before jumping in, ask yourself if you can afford to be part of the losing majority. The upside could be there, but the math says otherwise for most.