2026-01-14 17:23:23

Many people in the crypto world have been losing money all along, and the root cause might actually be overthinking.

I used to be the same. Whenever I saw obscure small coins or non-mainstream projects, I would keep my distance, thinking who would really invest in these things? My mind was filled with various concerns and assumptions.

Later, I gradually realized that sometimes letting go of overanalysis can help you see the true pulse of the market. Those strange-looking projects often experience unexpected surges because they have low attention and haven't yet gained consensus. This is not to say you should blindly follow the trend, but to admit: the market is full of uncertainties, and some opportunities are indeed hidden in unremarkable places.

Learning to simplify your thinking and reduce over-interpretation might help you discover that some projects that suddenly emerge are often right in the areas you previously chose to ignore.

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TokenAlchemist

· 01-16 02:04

nah this is just survivorship bias dressed up as wisdom tbh. the real alpha isn't in "thinking less" it's recognizing inefficiency vectors others miss—totally different beast. those shitcoins that pumped? probably just happened to hit the right MEV extraction window or liquidity cascade. not some enlightened simplicity thing lmao.

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NoStopLossNut

· 01-15 15:32

That's true, but now I'm a bit scared, afraid that I'll start going all-in on those small coins again. It's probably a psychological account issue; the less noticeable the thing, the easier it is to double, and that's the most heartbreaking part. Still that saying, simplifying thinking is easy, but simplifying desires is hard, brother. Really, sometimes I make more money by not watching the market, but I just can't give up the thrill of "analysis." Next time I see obscure coins, I'll still hesitate. I can't change this bad habit.

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DaoResearcher

· 01-14 17:53

In simple terms, it's paralysis by analysis caused by overthinking. According to Vitalik's view, information asymmetry in the market is itself a mechanism for price discovery... It is worth noting that the token economics of those low-liquidity small coins are often not fully priced in, which can indeed be observed as abnormal returns in the data.

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BagHolderTillRetire

· 01-14 17:40

Ha, that's right. Overanalyzing is indeed poison. It's really a mindset issue; the more you think about it, the more hesitant you become, and you end up missing out the most.

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All-InQueen

· 01-14 17:30

I was just saying, overthinking can indeed be a great enemy sometimes. I previously died in analysis like that, missing out on several waves of small coin surges. To be honest, the market is inherently unpredictable. Instead of sitting there calculating ten steps ahead, it's better to be bold... It sounds like gambling, but the crypto world is basically gambling anyway. Acknowledging this can actually help you live more clearly.

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