After years of navigating the crypto market, the biggest realization is—don't be greedy.

From a capital of 50,000 to where I am now, the most painful lesson isn't failed dips but those moments of greed. The mindset of wanting to double your full position in one shot is the easiest way to get burned. Conversely, strategies that seem "conservative" and are repeatedly tested are the true secrets to long-term survival.

**The Art of Positioning**

Divide your funds into 5 parts, and only move one part at a time—this may seem slow, but slow is fast. Set a stop-loss at 10 points; a single loss is only 2% of your total capital. It takes 5 losses to lose 10% of your principal. Think from another angle: this means you have enough room for trial and error. As long as you make one winning trade, earning over 10 points, the risk-reward ratio is already in your favor. Many people get trapped because their positions are too full, leaving no room to maneuver.

**In the Face of Trends, Details Are Illusory**

In a downtrend, every rebound looks like salvation, but most are just traps to lure more buyers. The lows created during upward movements are the real golden pits. Can low-position buying and bottom-fishing at highs be the same? Following the trend sounds simple, but in practice, it requires overcoming the human instinct to chase "cheap goods."

**Why Stay Away from Coins with Short-Term Explosive Gains**

Whether it's mainstream coins or small tokens, those capable of multiple major upward waves are rare. After a rapid short-term surge, the difficulty of continuing to rise increases exponentially. When prices stagnate at high levels, the subsequent momentum will inevitably weaken. This is just the natural evolution of supply and demand, but some can't resist betting on a high.

**The Reference Value of Technical Analysis**

MACD is a good tool. When DIF and DEA form a golden cross below the zero line and are about to break above zero, it’s often a sign to enter confidently. Conversely, when a death cross forms above zero and heads downward, consider reducing your position. Simple indicators tend to be most effective after repeated validation.

**How Deep Is the Pit of Averaging Down**

Adding to a position during a loss is one of the most taboo operations in trading and the direct cause of most margin calls. The more you lose, the more you add; the deeper you go, until you can’t move anymore. The correct approach is exactly the opposite—add when you’re in profit, letting winning trades continue to work for you.

**Volume Is the Soul of Price**

Seeing volume breakout during consolidation at low levels is a signal. Conversely, high volume with stagnation at high levels is also a signal—it's time to exit. Many traders only look at price and ignore volume, resulting in delayed reactions.

**Only Trade Coins on the Rise**

The 3-day moving average turning upward indicates short-term bullishness; the 30-day suggests medium-term bullishness; the 84-day signals that a major upward wave is approaching; and the 120-day indicates a long-term trend reversal. Only act when these conditions are met. This will naturally improve your win rate and save you from chasing highs or bottom-fishing.

**Always Review Your Trades**

Has your trading logic changed? Is your initial intention to hold still intact? Does the weekly K-line technical pattern still match your original judgment? Has the direction shifted? After each buy or sell, ask yourself these questions to continuously adjust your strategy and avoid stagnation.