The global financial markets are facing a rare double shock. U.S. retail sales and PPI data will be released prominently, coupled with a major Supreme Court ruling on trade policy. This "perfect storm" has traders on high alert.



Let's first look at the economic data. The market generally expects November retail sales to increase by 0.4% month-over-month, showing a rebound from previous levels. Online sales during the Black Friday shopping season are particularly impressive—Adobe Analytics reports an increase of over 23%, adding some positive signals to overall consumption data. However, the turning point lies in the PPI. Last month's core PPI month-over-month increase exceeded expectations, with food prices soaring by 3.3%. This sticky inflation pressure remains. These data points will directly influence the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy direction, and the market is highly sensitive to this.

A more critical variable comes from the policy level. The legal ruling window on the legitimacy of trade policies has reopened, with a case previously delayed now facing a new decision date. Policy makers have repeatedly stated that if the ruling is unfavorable, the U.S. economy could suffer impacts worth trillions of dollars. If further delays occur, the tilt of the legal balance could shift, potentially affecting the global trade landscape. This policy uncertainty has already triggered chain reactions in U.S. stocks, supply chain restructuring, and other areas.

Essentially, this is a collision between the fundamental economic outlook of inflation and consumption and the major upheaval in trade policy. Today's market volatility is likely to surge to new heights. For holders of crypto assets and traditional financial assets, closely monitoring these key moments and proactively implementing risk hedging strategies is the pragmatic choice at this time.
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 8
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
DegenRecoveryGroupvip
· 01-17 12:02
Black Friday online sales saw a 23% increase, which sounds great, but the PPI for food rose by 3.3%, which is outrageous... The stickiness of inflation really can't be sustained. Once the court ruling reverses, it could trigger a shock of tens of trillions of dollars. This wave of volatility is soaring, and hedging quickly is a must. Right now, it's all about betting on policy. Traders have probably been sleep-deprived these days. Positive consumption data can't outweigh the risk posed by trade policy—it's really necessary to plan ahead. The money made from Black Friday is there, but can it withstand the upcoming shock? Question mark face
View OriginalReply0
RunWhenCutvip
· 01-17 09:40
Black Friday data is so impressive, yet people still worry about inflation. That's hilarious—strong consumption but the money isn't worth much.
View OriginalReply0
TaxEvadervip
· 01-17 07:56
Black Friday data looks good, but PPI really can't hold up, sticky inflation is just a hot potato. I've been waiting for this wave of policy risk. If trade policy decisions really come down hard, how much of my holdings will evaporate on the spot... A shock of trillions is no joke. Can the US stock market stop plunging these past two days? I really can't take it anymore. I'm quite optimistic about the 23% increase in online Black Friday sales, but when I see food prices up 3.3%, I lose my composure. Consumers must be having a tough time. The supply chain restructuring has been chaotic for a long time. If trade policies get tinkered with again... forget it, I’d better start hedging first.
View OriginalReply0
TideRecedervip
· 01-15 01:52
Black Friday online sales up 23%? I feel like it's just a phantom... Food prices soaring by 3.3% is the real killer. The Federal Reserve needs to get tough.
View OriginalReply0
TopEscapeArtistvip
· 01-14 12:58
Perfect storm? Are we waiting for a black swan to crash the market... With bearish signals flying everywhere, I've already set my stop-loss level, just waiting for the PPI data to come out. By then, the MACD is likely to form a death cross.
View OriginalReply0
WalletDetectivevip
· 01-14 12:56
The term "Perfect Storm" is used well, but I think this time might be a prelude to the perfect "harvesting of retail investors"... Black Friday online sales increased by 23%, but food prices only rose by 3.3%? Who is eating this price difference? It seems that consumer enthusiasm has been completely eaten up by inflation. With this wave of PPI data released, the Federal Reserve will have to reconsider. My USDC might not be able to relax so comfortably anymore.
View OriginalReply0
0xSoullessvip
· 01-14 12:42
It's another "perfect storm" and another "preemptive layout"... Listening to it, my ears are getting calloused. Black Friday online sales rose by 23%, but then PPI hits with a blow—this script is getting old. Basically, it's a gamble on what the Federal Reserve is thinking, and the trade war track is about to turn again. Anyway, big funds have already exited, and we retail investors are still here watching the "key moments." --- Black Friday e-commerce data looks good, but the three points of sticky inflation—food prices rising... It's like your invested coins have gone up, but the transaction fees have doubled. --- A shock of trillions of dollars? Sounds almost real. If the court delays our positions again, they'll probably delay ours too, and it will cool off. --- "Preemptive risk hedging," in other words... I don't know when to run, so you guys better prepare a few more options. --- The three points of PPI with their high increases are really sticky, so sticky that it makes people want to curse.
View OriginalReply0
liquidation_watchervip
· 01-14 12:39
Black Friday sales saw a 23% increase, which looks good, but the PPI is really under tremendous pressure, with food prices rising by 3.3%... Inflation still hasn't eased. If a court ruling comes down suddenly, the supply chain will be disrupted again, and this wave could really break new highs. Quickly adjust leverage positions; it feels like today might blow up.
View OriginalReply0
  • Pin

Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)