2026-01-14 08:02:29

#美国消费者物价指数发布在即 Ethereum has done what quality assets should do in this restless market—maintain its structure.

The price is steadily holding above the upward trendline, which has been the case for several weeks. Although it faces repeated resistance above and short-term rebounds are repeatedly blocked, the bullish framework remains intact. That’s the key—upward movement is limited, but it doesn’t mean the bulls are broken.

A sudden shift in capital flow is a signal. On January 12, spot Ethereum ETF saw a net inflow of $5 million in a single day, ending three consecutive days of outflows. Grayscale and 21Shares became the main buyers, while ETHA was still reducing its holdings. What does this indicate? Institutions are not panicking and fleeing; instead, they are reallocating their positions. While retail investors are still debating whether the price will break below, capital is already positioning for the next move.

On the technical side, the RSI is gradually climbing around 50. This isn’t a frantic bull run but more like disciplined market control—steady and logical growth. The real focus is here: if the 4-hour candlestick can hold above the $3,150 level, it’s not a false breakout but a confirmation of the structure. Once it breaks through and stabilizes, the space above opens up, and the range from $3,223 to $3,296 becomes the target.

The risk points are also quite clear. If ETF capital flows out again significantly and the upward trendline is effectively broken, ETH could retest $3,058. But before that, it’s more about digesting divergences at high levels rather than a trend weakening.

The most vulnerable moment in the market is often not during a clear decline but when everything appears calm on the surface. I will continue to monitor changes in ETH’s structure and capital flow dynamics.

$BTC $ETH $SOL

ETH0,84%

BTC1,59%

SOL-0,21%

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AlwaysAnon

· 14h ago

Institutions are quietly accumulating, retail investors are still doubting life... The gap is really quite hopeless. --- If I can't hold the 3150 line, I'll admit defeat, but I feel this time is different. --- Will the CPI release turn into another farce? I'm really exhausted. --- Grayscale is buying, ETHA is selling. Looking at this trend, are institutions internally divided? --- As long as the structure isn't broken, it's not considered a loss. I understand this principle, but why do I always feel like a surprise is coming in the next second? --- The calmest waters are the most terrifying. That's the truth. Whoever believes it is unlucky. --- After three days of no ETF capital inflow and bleeding, are they starting to buy again? Does it have to be so dramatic? --- I just want to see if 3296 can be broken, other things can be ignored for now.

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SignatureDenied

· 14h ago

Institutions are quietly buying, retail investors are still hesitating, this gap is really incredible --- If 3150 can't hold, I'll just run, simple and straightforward --- The CPI is coming, no need to fuss, let's wait for the data --- The shift in liquidity is indeed worth paying attention to, previous escape was too fierce --- ETH is just digesting this wave, I’ll just watch quietly --- Multiple rebounds were blocked, and you're still hyping this? I see trouble --- Grayscale is eating, which means someone is smarter than us --- Let's talk again if 3150 falls, any discussion about structure now is pointless --- Peaceful and calm? To me, it looks more fierce --- If it doesn't break 3058 this time, I'll buy the dip, I’m betting

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BlockchainArchaeologist

· 14h ago

Institutions are quietly positioning themselves, while retail investors are still hesitating, and the gap is widening. --- An RSI gradual climb indicates that no one wants to dump, which is the real signal. --- Is holding 3150 really that important? It feels like once it's broken, there's no support below. --- Seeing Grayscale and 21Shares buying makes me feel more at ease, but reducing ETHA positions still feels a bit uncomfortable. --- The phrase "digest divergence at high levels" essentially means waiting for the CPI's shoe to drop. --- A disciplined rise > crazy pump; these days, you really need to learn to read the rhythm clearly. --- If the range of 3223-3296 can truly hold steady, then the story isn't over yet.

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pvt_key_collector

· 14h ago

Institutions are quietly accumulating, while retail investors are still panicking. The gap is just so big. --- I believe in ETH maintaining its structure; only a break below 3150 is truly significant. --- To put it simply, it's about the ETF capital flow. That's the real signal; technical analysis is just cloud talk. --- The shift in funds is a good sign, indicating that big players are not scared, so I feel more at ease. --- It feels like another "false breakout" is about to happen. Let's wait and see if 3150 holds.

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