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Recently, I read opinions from several industry heavyweights about the future of Bitcoin and found that their views are surprisingly divergent—some mention $1.5 million, others predict $13 million. This far exceeds rational analysis and resembles more a battle of beliefs.
Let's start with the more optimistic camp. The head of a leading public chain foundation believes that by 2026, Bitcoin could reach $1.33 million. He even mentioned that in the case of an extreme market trend (which he calls "Omega Candle"), a rapid surge could occur in a short period. On the other hand, the leader of a well-known asset management firm provided a phased forecast—under a baseline scenario, Bitcoin might reach around $600,000 by 2030, but in a bull market scenario, it could surge to $1.5 million. Her logic is quite interesting: after the approval of a US spot ETF, institutional allocations will accelerate. As long as institutions allocate 5% of their assets to digital assets like Bitcoin, prices could be driven significantly higher.
A more aggressive voice comes from the head of a publicly listed company. He directly stated that Bitcoin is currently in the "Gold Rush" mid-term (2024-2034), with a mid-term target of $150,000 to $250,000, and a long-term target that surprisingly reaches $13 million, aiming for 2045. The core logic of this big player is that Bitcoin's supply is fixed, and macro liquidity is abundant, so the long-term ceiling could be much higher than most people imagine.
In essence, this is no longer just technical analysis or data-driven inference. Everyone is using their own framework to understand Bitcoin's value—from its positioning as digital gold, macro asset allocation, to extreme scenario assumptions—completely different perspectives, and naturally, the conclusions vary greatly.