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#数字资产市场动态 Gold prices are surging strongly, but this wave of market movement has become a "money shredder" for many—those chasing the highs get trapped, those bottom-fishing get swept out, and repeatedly cutting losses has become the norm. Instead of complaining about bad luck, it's better to calmly assess: how far can this rally really go?
From the daily chart, after reaching a new high, gold formed a dark cross candlestick, indicating increased selling pressure. Many holders are taking profits at high levels. The current price remains close to the upper Bollinger Band, with MACD bullish momentum still expanding. The KDJ and RSI indicators are both trending upward. From a trend perspective, it's still a complete bullish structure, but this is precisely the most dangerous time—excessive gains will inevitably face a pullback.
The 4-hour chart provides a clearer picture. The three Bollinger Bands are moving upward simultaneously, looking vigorous, but the details are sending warning signals: MACD's energy is beginning to weaken, KDJ is still in a golden cross but with a noticeably weakening momentum, and RSI is flattening at high levels. All these suggest a correction is imminent. In the short term, avoid blindly chasing the rally—it's like digging your own trap.
On the hourly chart, the price is still climbing along the upper band. MACD remains in an expanding phase, indicating room for bulls to exert strength, but this space won't be large.
Overall, today's strategy should be as follows: focus on low-level entries for long positions, while high-level short positions should only serve as risk hedges—don't do the opposite.
Specific operational suggestions:
**Plan 1: Conservative**
Look for opportunities to go long in the 4590-4596 range, with a stop-loss below 4570. If all goes well, target the 4628-4634 zone. If the price breaks through this resistance, continue aiming for 4660.
**Plan 2: Aggressive**
If the market surges without giving a chance for a pullback, wait. Wait until gold stabilizes around 4634-4640 before adding long positions, riding the trend higher. Set stop-loss below 4620, with a target of 4660-4680.
Regardless of the plan, the core logic remains the same: control the pace, don't get blinded by the rally. The market is always there every day—don't rush into a full throttle; risk management always comes first. $BTC $ETH