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$BTC A seemingly perfect economic report has triggered a new wave of trust issues on Wall Street. Economists are directly questioning the authenticity of this report, and the suspicious aspects of government statistical methods are beginning to surface.
Last week, the US December CPI data caused a stir in the market. The 2.7% year-over-year increase appears impressive on the surface, but may conceal the true face of inflation. This data disturbed the gold, US stock, and dollar markets, further causing investors to doubt the credibility of official figures.
Interestingly, gold experienced a decline followed by a rise after the data release, ultimately stabilizing at a historic high of $4,600 per ounce. Analysts see clearly that the combination of policy risk aversion demand and ongoing central bank gold purchases has become the main driver supporting gold prices. Gold is evolving into the ultimate safe haven against data ambiguity.
**The Inflation Puzzle**
The report on January 13th sparked widespread discussion. Behind the seemingly perfect 2.7% growth rate, the sticky problem of inflation has not truly dissipated. Economists are well aware—after the impact of the government shutdown in November, which caused a statistical gap, the data we see is essentially false perfection.
What is the real situation? Inflation is actually returning to a "moderate but still above the 2% target" normal, which is less comfortable. However, official data seems to have been carefully "refined" to make it look more in line with expectations.
In numbers, December CPI year-over-year and core CPI year-over-year are both 2.7%, with month-over-month rebounds of 0.3%. This seemingly stable performance starkly contrasts with the real price changes we experience in daily life. This contradiction is becoming more obvious, leading to increasing doubts about the true value of these figures.